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研究生: 蔡孟穎
Meng-Ying Tsai
論文名稱: 預測線上評論的幫助性:誰是關鍵評論者?
Predicting the helpfulness of online reviews: Who is the key reviewer?
指導教授: 林孟彥
Meng-Yen Lin
口試委員: 蔡瑤昇
葉穎蓉
Ying-Jung Yeh
林孟彥
Meng-Yen Lin
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 管理學院MBA
School of Management International (MBA)
論文出版年: 2018
畢業學年度: 106
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 26
中文關鍵詞: 線上評論幫助性用戶生成內容文字探勘預測模型機器學習
外文關鍵詞: Online reviews, Helpfulness, User-generated content, Text mining, Prediction model, Machine learning
相關次數: 點閱:321下載:7
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  • 線上評論是廠商了解消費者實際使用經驗的重要資訊來源,而龐大的使用者生成內容(User-generated content, UGC)經常造成廠商資訊超載,大幅提高汲取有用資訊的困難度。為了找出有幫助性評論,近年來,文字探勘與機器學習技術被大量應用於消費者意見內容發掘及預測評論的幫助性。
    本研究以台灣地區一家主要的美妝網站評論為資料集,利用集成學習(Ensemble learning)領域中新興的「極限梯度提昇(XGBoost)」技術,建立以評論人氣為依據的預測模型,搜尋對評論人氣有顯著影響的重要字詞,並與傳統線性迴歸技術比較其預測效能。接著透過文字探勘中字詞向量模型的「跳躍式模型(Skip-gram model)」技術找出關聯字詞,並據此偵測出關鍵評論者。同時,在字詞選擇方法中,將「重要單詞選擇法」及「隨機單詞選擇法」的選擇效果進行比較。
    研究結果表明,在預測模型中,使用XGBoost技術可以有效提供對評論人氣預測效能更好的字詞。至於在字詞選擇方法中,本研究所提出的「重要單詞結合關聯字詞選擇法」,相較於業者一般以「重要單詞選擇法」或「隨機選擇法」,對人氣評論的預測效果亦顯著較佳。因此,本研究的發現(一)可協助廠商以特定字詞詞組,撰寫產品資訊或評論,吸引較高的評論人氣;(二)可藉此發掘出能有效吸引消費者目光的寫手或評論者,由其撰寫評論,進一步凸顯產品特色以增加消費者的購買意願。


    Online reviews are the important information resource for retailers to understand the actual using experience from consumers. However, with the amount of User-generated content (UGC) grows increasingly, retailers would suffer from the problem of information overload to extract the useful information. In order to find out the helpful reviews, the text mining and the machine learning techniques are wide applied to discovering the opinion contents of consumers as well as predicting the helpfulness of reviews in recent years.
    This research collected data from one of the main cosmetics and skin care products review website in Taiwan, and utilize the novel technique in the field of ensemble learning called “XGBoost”, building the prediction model which take review popularity as criteria, searching the important terms that have significant effect to review popularity. And compare with the conventional linear regression technique of predictive performance. Then use the “Skip-gram model” technique of word vector modeling in the text mining field to discover the correlatively semantic terms, detecting the key reviewers with both the important terms and the semantic terms. Finally, comparing the performance of the proposed term selected method with the “single term selected method” and “random term selected method”.
    The results indicated that XGBoost can further suggest better determinants which have a greater effect on review popularity. In the term selected methods, the proposed method outperforms the other two methods in terms of predicting the review popularity. The finding of this research would help retailers discover the key reviewers who can attract people’s attentions effectively with specific terms group for emphasizing the features of product and promoting the purchase intention of consumers.

    摘要 I Abstract II 誌謝 III 目錄 IV 表目錄 V 圖目錄 VI 壹、 緒論 1 貳、 文獻探討 3 參、 研究方法 5 第一節 資料蒐集 5 第二節 資料前置處理 6 一、 中文斷詞 6 二、 停止詞移除 7 三、 TF-IDF 7 四、 N-gram 7 第三節 預測模型 8 第四節 分析方法 8 肆、 研究結果 9 第一節 預測模型 9 第二節 文本分析 9 第三節 偵查關鍵評論者 10 第四節 評估與討論 11 伍、 結論 15 參考文獻 16 附錄 18

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