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研究生: 簡弘霖
Hung-lin Chien
論文名稱: Illiquidity and government bond markets in East Asia and Southeast Asia
Illiquidity and government bond markets in East Asia and Southeast Asia
指導教授: 張光第
Guang-di Chang
口試委員: 張琬喻
Wan-yu Chang
陳聖賢
Sheng-shian Chen
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融研究所
Graduate Institute of Finance
論文出版年: 2012
畢業學年度: 100
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 29
中文關鍵詞: government bond marketsliquidityEast AsiaSoutheast Asia
外文關鍵詞: government bond markets, liquidity, East Asia, Southeast Asia
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This study is aimed to find what causes illiquidity in the government bond markets in the East Asia and Southeast Asia. The trading volumes are used as the proxy for liquidity while seven macroeconomic variables are used as regressors. The vector error correction model (VECM) and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach are employed to examine whether the trading volumes are related to the macroeconomic variables. The results of GDP, unemployment rate and issuing size are fully consistent with the previous studies. The results for the Exports-to-GDP, GDP per capita, volatility of short-term interest rate and exchange rate differ from the previous studies. We conclude that regulation could be one of the factors that cause illiquidity.


This study is aimed to find what causes illiquidity in the government bond markets in the East Asia and Southeast Asia. The trading volumes are used as the proxy for liquidity while seven macroeconomic variables are used as regressors. The vector error correction model (VECM) and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach are employed to examine whether the trading volumes are related to the macroeconomic variables. The results of GDP, unemployment rate and issuing size are fully consistent with the previous studies. The results for the Exports-to-GDP, GDP per capita, volatility of short-term interest rate and exchange rate differ from the previous studies. We conclude that regulation could be one of the factors that cause illiquidity.

ABSTRACT 2 1. Introduction 5 2. Literature Review 6 2. 1. Liquidity factors 6 2.2. Macro-economic factors 7 3. Data and Methodology 8 3.1. Data and summary statistics 8 3.2. Empirical method 16 4. Empirical Results 20 4.1. Group one: China and Hong Kong 20 4.2. Group two: Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, and Thailand 23 5. Conclusion 27 References 28

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