簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 朱元松
Yuan-Sung Chu
論文名稱: 波動率風險溢酬之實證研究-以LIFFE個股選擇權為例
Empirical Study of Volatility Risk Premium– The Cases of LIFFE Individual Stock Options
指導教授: 林丙輝
Bing-Huei Lin
口試委員: 張傳章
Chuang-Chang Chang
洪茂蔚
Hung, Mao-Wei
徐中琦
Shyu, Jonchi
黃彦聖
Huang, Yen Sheng
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融研究所
Graduate Institute of Finance
論文出版年: 2005
畢業學年度: 93
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 42
中文關鍵詞: 買權波動率風險溢酬Black-Scholes隱含波動率歷史波動率
外文關鍵詞: call option, volatility risk premium, realized volatilities, delta-hedged gains, Black-Scholes implied volatility
相關次數: 點閱:348下載:0
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 近幾年來的研究指出,選擇權的價格中隱含負的波動率風險溢酬,同時為Black -Scholes隱含波動率大於歷史波動率提供了一個合理的答案。本篇論文以30檔LIFFE個股選擇權為實證標的,研究其定價是否隱含波動率風險溢酬。其實證結果如下:(1) 個股選擇權的隱含波動率平均而言高於歷史波動率,且其差距高於指數選擇權。(2)delta-hedged gains之平均值一般而言均為負(3)個股選擇權之delta-hedged gains負的程度大於指數選擇權(4) 個股選擇權的價格不僅隱含負的市場波動率風險溢酬,也隱含負的個別公司波動率風險溢酬。


    During the last few years, several studies have indicated that options price a negative volatility risk premium, thus providing a reasonable explanation of why Black-Scholes implied volatilities of options exceed realized volatilities. In this paper, we examine the empirical implication of market volatility risk premium on 30 call options of individual stock that are traded on LIFFE. First, the Black-Scholes implied volatilities of the options, on average, are greater than the historical realized volatilities. However the magnitude of this difference between implied and realized volatilities for the options is greater than that for the index. Second, the average delta-hedged gains of options of individual stock are generally negative. Third, the delta-hedged gains of individual stock options are more negative than index. Fourth, the price of call options incorporates not only a negative market volatility risk premium, but also a negative individual firm idiosyncratic volatility risk premium. Our empirical results provide resolution of why buyers of call options are willing to pay more risk premium than index options.

    CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION1 CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW1 2.1 RELATED MODEL REVIEW3 2.1.1 Delta-Hedged Gains Under Constant Volatility3 2.1.2 Delta-Hedged Gains Under Stochastic Volatility5 2.2 RELATED LITERATURE REVIEW7 CHAPTER 3 METHODOLOGY11 3.1 PARAMETER ESTIMATES IN THE DISCRETE DELTA-HEDGED GAIN MODEL11 3.1.1 Data11 3.1.2 Filters of the Option Sample11 3.1.3 Dividend Yield Rate and Adjusted Underlying Price12 3.1.4 Risk-Free Interest Rate12 3.1.5 Realized Volatility12 3.1.6 Implied Volatility13 3.2 THE BASIC MODEL14 3.3 PANEL REGRESSION19 CHAPTER 4 EMPIRICAL RESULTS AND ANALYSIS20 4.1IMPLIED AND REALIZED VOLATILITIES OF THE CALL OPTIONS20 4.2DELTA-HEDGED GAINS FOR CALL OPTIONS24 4.3DELTA-HEDGED GAINS, MARKET VOLATILITY, AND IDIOSYNCRATIC VOLATILITY29 CHAPTER 5 CONCLUSIONS AND SUGGESTIONS40 5.1 CONCLUSIONS40 5.2 SUGGESTIONS41 TABLE4- 1 IMPLIED VOLATILITY VERSUS REALIZED VOLATILITY22 TABLE4- 2 MAGNITUDE OF DELTA-HEDGED GAINS26 TABLE4- 3 TIME SERIES RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN DELTA-HEDGED GAINS AND VOLATILITY RISK PREMIUM32 TABLE4- 4 DELTA-HEDGED GAINS AND VOLATILITY RISK PREMIUM : PANEL REGRESSION35 TABLE4- 5 DELTA-HEDGED GAINS, MARKET VOLATILITY, AND IDIOSYNCRATIC VOLATILITY38 TABLE4- 6 PANEL REGRESSION39

    Bakshi, G., C. Cao, Z. Chen, 1997, “Empirical performance of alternative option pricing models,” Journal of Finance, 52, pp. 2003-2049.
    Bakshi, G., C. Cao, Z. Chen, 2000, “How Often Does the Call Move in the Opposite Direction to the Underlying?” Review of Financial Studies, 13, pp. 549-584.
    Bakshi, G.., and N. Kapadia, 2003(A), “Delta-Hedged Gains and the Negative Volatility Risk Premium,” Review of Financial Studies 16 (2), pp. 527-566.
    Bakshi, G.., and N. Kapadia, 2003(B), “Volatility Risk Premium Embedded in Individual Equity Options: Some New Insight,” Journal of Derivatives, 11, pp. 45-54.
    Bates, D., 2000, “Post-87 crash fears in S&P 500 futures options,” Journal of Econometrics 94, 181-238.
    Black, F. and M. Scholes, 1973 “The price of options and corporate liabilities, ”Journal of Political Economy, 81, pp. 637-659.
    Buraschi, A., and J, jackwerth, 2001, “The Price of a Simile: Hedging and Spanning in Option Market,” Review of Financial Studies, 14, pp. 495-527.
    French, K, W. Schwert, and R. Stambaugh, 1987, “Expected Stock Returns and Volatiltiy,” Journal of Financial Economics, 19, pp. 3-29.
    Glosten, L., R. Jagannathan, and D. Runkle, 1993, “On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Returns on Stock,” Journal of Finance, 48, pp. 1779-1801.
    Greene, W., 2003, Econometric Analysis, 5th edition, Prentice Hall, New York.
    Hull J. C., 2000, Options, Futures, and other Derivatives, fifth edition, Englewood Cliffs, N.J., Prentice Hall.
    Jackwerth, J and M. Rubinstein, 1996, “Recovering Probability Distributions from Option Prices,” Journal of Finance, 51, pp. 1611-1631.
    QMS, 2004, EViews student Version 4.1 for XP, Quantitative Micro Software

    無法下載圖示 全文公開日期 本全文未授權公開 (校內網路)
    全文公開日期 本全文未授權公開 (校外網路)
    全文公開日期 本全文未授權公開 (國家圖書館:臺灣博碩士論文系統)
    QR CODE