再生能源顯然貢獻全球於實現永續綠能環境之共享式成長，並以獨特優勢提供應用永續性方式獲取能源，致使獲得各國政府與企業決策者關注並作出自願性承諾，以進一步推動再生能源產業發展，特別是太陽能產業。然而化石燃料枯竭與未來高能源價格突顯須強化太陽能發展潛力之價值，除了創造顯著之綠色經濟效益與驅動技術革新之外，對於減緩氣候變遷、降低碳排放量、提高國家能源安全度、解決反核議題紛爭、創造綠領就業機會等亦提供顯著之廣泛共同利益。臺灣太陽能產業發展乃受制於經濟發展、能源應用、環境保護及政府政策隱含拘束之多重變數交互衝擊與影響，存在動態性、因果性、回饋性、時滯性、非線性等相互牽制影響之動態行為特徵。檢視先驅國家太陽能產業推展成效之良寙，乃繫決於政府政策導入與企業技術推動之驅動力強弱。然而臺灣太陽能發展之預期規劃目標與實際達成成效往往遠不及預測，面對複雜之太陽能產業發展倘若無法實施外因變化的趨勢預測，將無以落實即時動態政策實施與策略導入之模擬預測與策略評價，導致衍生國家財政負擔與影響整體太陽能產業發展。
研究以永續能源發展視野應用多方法協同與複合模型集成建立整體系統動態流圖及模型，進一步進行定量測算、趨勢預測及策略模擬。藉由太陽能產業發展現況、未來趨勢、應用擴散策略、產業政策隱含拘束及擴散限制之探討，解析臺灣太陽能產業發展機制與影響要因；以系統工程學建構整體系統及子系統；應用模糊德爾菲專家諮詢與問卷調查確立系統指標體系；以系統動態學為研究方法核心，建立臺灣太陽能產業發展策略系統動態模擬模式與模型；結合策略方案情境模擬進行最佳複合能源策略組合及各方案情境模式應用之尋優。研究發現多方法協同與複合模型集成可系統化應用於太陽能產業發展策略之研究；複合系統變數策略方案之施為具優質評價；政府政策推動之策略變數雖具短期正面積極效果，惟卻衍生飲鴆止渴之現象因而須審慎施為；而企業技術推動之策略變數則具長期太陽能產業體質之本質性改善與企業技術革新的成效；最後，研擬提出未來永續太陽能產業發展之調適策略與發展決策建議。
面對未來臺灣太陽能產業發展之趨勢，建議乃須建立地域性與即時動態監測之太陽能產業發展系統，以掌握長期動態產業發展之相關統計資訊流，並積極建立整合量化與質性系統變數兼容之系統動態模型，以有效掌握多維度發展之臺灣太陽能產業發展態勢，促使臺灣朝5E永續能源環境目標邁進。

Renewable energy has contributed to the joint growth of the realization of sustainable green energy environment across the world. Moreover, it can provide a sustainable method access to energy with its unique advantages. For these reasons, it has attracted the policymakers attention of many governments and enterprises, which made commitment to promote the renewable energy industry, especially the solar energy industry. The exhaustion of fossil fuels and the high price of energy in the future underline the value of development potential of solar energy. Aside from creating significant green economic benefits and promoting technological innovation, it can alleviate climate change, reduce the emission of carbon dioxide, enhance the national energy security, resolve anti-nuclear disputes, and provide job opportunities in the green energy industry. The solar energy industry in Taiwan is subject to the interactive impact of many uncertainties of the limitation in Economic development, Energy exploiting, Environmental protection (3E) and government policies implications. Moreover, it features mutual influence among dynamics, causality, feedback, time delay and nonlinearity. Studies have showed that the development of the solar energy industry in developed countries depends on government policies and technological advancement. However, there is a large gap between the objectives of the solar energy development in Taiwan and the reality. If unable to predict the trend according to the change caused by external factors in face of the complicated development of the solar energy industry, it would be impossible to achieve the simulation prediction and strategic evaluation of dynamic real-time policy implementation and strategic introduction. This will result in fiscal burden on the nation and affect the development of the solar energy industry.
With the perspective of sustainable energy development, this research adopted multi-method coordination and the compound model to establish the overall system dynamic flow diagrams and models for further quantitative measurement, trend prediction and strategic simulation. Through the discussion on the current development and future trend of the solar energy industry, the implementation of expansion strategies, the limitation of policies implications in the industrial, and the constraints on expansion, this research analyzed the development mechanism and critical influencing factors of the solar energy industry in Taiwan; established an overall system and sub-systems with Systems Engineering Analysis; defined the systematic indicator framework through the consultation with the experts and FDELPHI Expert Questionnaire; applied System Dynamics as the core of research methodological, established systematic dynamic simulation modes and models of strategies of the solar energy industry development in Taiwan; combined the best composite energy strategies, and optimized the application of the situation modes of the programs according to the Scenarios Simulation Analysis of the strategic programs. According to the research, found the multi-method coordination and the composite model integration can be systematically applied in the research on the strategies of the solar energy industry development; there are favorable appraisals on the implementation of the strategy program of the composite system variables. Despite their short-term positive effects, government policies must be prudently implemented for they may cost long-term benefits. The technological advancement of enterprises can improve the nature of the solar energy industry and promote technological innovation for a long period of time. Ultimately, this research proposed adaption strategies and decision-making suggestions for the sustainable development of the solar energy industry.
In face of the development trend of the solar energy industry in the future, this research suggested that a development system for the solar energy industry, featuring regional and real-time, dynamic monitoring, should be established to collect the information about the long-term, dynamic development of the industry. Meanwhile, more efforts should be made to establish a systematically dynamic model that integrates quantitative and qualitative system variables compatibility, so as to predict the trend of the solar energy industry characterized by multi-dimensional development, further promote Taiwan towards sustainable energy development and 5E goals.

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