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研究生: 陳柏蒼
Po-tsang Chen
論文名稱: 以多元樹模型演算法評價回顧型選擇權
An Efficient Algorithm to Price Lookback Options With Multinomial-Lattices Model
指導教授: 莊文議
Wen-i Chuang
口試委員: 王之彥
Jr-yan Wang
張光第
Guang-di Chang
石百達
Pai-ta Shih
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融研究所
Graduate Institute of Finance
論文出版年: 2009
畢業學年度: 97
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 51
中文關鍵詞: 連續回顧型選擇權間斷回顧型選擇權多元樹模型觀察期數
外文關鍵詞: continues-sampled lookback options, discrete-sampled lookback options, multinomial-lattices model, observation number.
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對於回顧型選擇權的評價,本篇研究是利用Cheuk and Vorst (1997)的轉換計價單位方法結合 Ritchken and Trevor (1999)多元樹模型的架構建立一個評價回顧型選擇權的單一狀態變數之多元樹模型。在連續觀察時間情況下能夠快速且精確地逼近Conze and Viswanathan (1991)推導的回顧型選擇權封閉解,而在離散觀察時間情況下能夠得到正確的評價結果並與Heynen and Kat (1995)推導的離散回顧型選擇權之數值解比較。
本研究之評價模型在評價連續歐式浮動履約價回顧型買權時,隨著多元樹的分枝數及切割期數的逐漸增加,雖然能夠在計算效率有較佳的表現,但是在封閉解的逼近上,仍然存在小數點第二位的誤差。而在離散歐式浮動履約價回顧型買權的評價上,當回顧型選擇權的觀察期數越頻繁,越能夠凸顯此縮減式多元樹評價模型的準確性及快速性,不僅能夠快速逼近Monte Carlo的模擬值,而且評價結果皆能在95%的信賴區間,另外亦能夠在計算效率上領先Heynen and Kat(1995)所提出的離散回顧型選擇權評價方法,可見此縮減式多元樹的評價模型能夠是更能夠與現實中的股價波動情形相符合。


For the valuation of lookback option, this study intends to establish an one-state variable multinomial lattices model to evaluate lookback option based on the notions of changing numeraire in Cheuk and Vorst (1997) and the tree model in Ritchken and Trevor (1999). With the framework of one-state variable multinomial lattices model, the results of continues-sampled lookback option prices can converge to efficiently the closed-form solution derived by Conze and Viswanathan (1991). The results of discrete-sampled lookback option prices can correctly approach the results of the Monte Carlo estimation and the closed-form solution derived by Heynen and Kat (1995).
For the valuation of the continues-sampled lookback options, this model can generate more accurate results with the increase of number of multinomial lattices’ branches and the number of time steps, but there is still small bias between our results and the closed-form solution. For the valuation of the discrete-sampled lookback options, the more frequently is the observation number, this model can obtain correct result more fast and accurately. The results with one-state variable multinomial lattices model can not only approach the results of Monte Carlo estimation fast, but also are always within 95% confidence interval. In addition, this model can have better efficiency than the numerical implementation of the closed-form solution in Heynen and Kat (1995) for pricing discrete-sampled lookback options. Consequently, one-state variable multinomial lattices model of this study can generate more accurate results in real life.

第壹章 緒論 1 第一節 研究動機與目的 1 第二節 研究流程 4 第貳章 多元樹評價模型之架構 5 第一節 Cheuk and Vorst (1997)之回顧型選擇權評價模型 5 第二節 Ritchken and Trevor (1999)之GARCH多元樹評價模型 6 第三節 評價模型之架構-縮減式多元樹模型 8 第参章 多元樹模型之評價結果與分析 17 第一節 連續(Continues-sampled)回顧型選擇權之數值結果與分析 17 第二節 離散(Discrete-sampled)回顧型選擇權之數值結果與分析 28 第肆章 結論與建議 46 參考文獻 47 附錄 48

Boyle, P. P. (1988) “A Lattice Framework for option Pricing with Two State Variable,” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 23, 1-12.
Cox, J. C., S. A. Ross, and M. Rubinstein. (1979) “Option Pricing: A Simplified Approach,” Journal of Financial Economics 7, 229-263.
Conze, A. and Viswanathan. (1991) “Path-Dependent Options: The Case of Lookback Options,” The Journal of Finance 46, 1893-1907.
Cheuk, T. H. F. and A. C. F. Vorst. (1997) “Currency Lookback Options and Observation Frequency: A Binomial Approach,” Journal of International Money and Finance 16, 173-187.
Goldman, B. M., H. B. Sosin, and M. A. Gatto. (1979) “Path-Dependent Options : Buy at the Low, Sell at the High,” Journal of Finance 34, 1111-1127.
Hull, J. C. and A. White. (1993) “Efficient Procedures for Valuing European and American Path-Dependent Options,” Journal of Derivatives 1, 21-31.
Heynen, R. C. and H. M. Kat. (1995) “Lookback Options with Discrete and Partial Monitoring of the Underlying Price,” Applied Mathematical Finance 2, 273-284.
Hull, John. C. (2003) “Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives,” Fifth edition. Prentice-Hall International.
Ritchken, P. and R. Trevor. (1999) “Pricing Options under Gerneralized GARCH and Stochastic Volatility Process,” The Journal of Finance 54, 377-402.

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