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研究生: 林毓芳
Yu-Fang Lin
論文名稱: 以專利資訊與產品需求分析寵物貓家具之產業發展趨勢
Analysis of pet cat furniture industry development trend with patent information and products demand.
指導教授: 耿筠
Yun Ken
口試委員: 袁建中
JIAN-ZHONG, YUAN
陳福基
FU-JI, CHEN
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 應用科技學院 - 專利研究所
Graduate Institute of Patent
論文出版年: 2022
畢業學年度: 110
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 65
中文關鍵詞: 寵物貓寵物貓家具寵物貓需求專利分析成長曲線趨勢預測羅吉斯模型
外文關鍵詞: pet cat, pet cat furniture, pet cat demand, patent analysis, growth curve, trend forecast, Logistic model
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  • 近年來全球飼養寵物數量大幅增加,飼主對於寵物的依賴與投入程度因社會結構改變而加深。其中寵物貓的習性與現代都市生活較為相符,飼養數量增加快速,因而帶動寵物貓家具產業的發展。對於研發者而言,專利文件可以提供量化資訊觀察趨勢。因此本研究以寵物貓家具專利資訊的角度切入,並藉由寵物貓之需求作為分類依據,對寵物貓家具產業進行分析,及預測發展之趨勢。
    本研究利用全球專利檢索系統(GPSS)檢索「寵物貓家具」專利申請案,分別:台灣978件、美國3,841件、以及中國12,502件,其檢準率為82%至83%,檢全率為84%至100%。根據文獻探討與市場調查,將貓家具專利依照寵物貓的環境需求與基本生理需求分類,進一步分為籠具、寵物窩、遊具、食具、及貓砂盆五個類別,各類別之檢準率約73%至93%。並運用該分類結合專利量化資訊分析申請人、歷年申請趨勢,及透過成長曲線預測發展趨勢。
    分析結果經彙整後如以下三點:(1)比較台灣、美國、以及中國申請類別及申請人國別,各國飼養寵物之習性與民情不同,研發方向與專利申請亦產生差異,因此寵物貓家具市場具有區域性的特性,因此建議我國研發者以我國及鄰近國為目標市場。(2)以技術曲線為分析模型發現,我國、中國的該產業目前處於成熟期,美國則為飽和期。(3)滿足環境需求的休憩與遊戲資源分類則較晚進入成熟期,建議我國研發者可以著重於滿足環境需求之寵物貓家具進行研發。


    In recent years, the number of pets being kept around the world has increased significantly, and the dependence and commitment of pet owners has deepened due to changes in social structure. Among them, the habits of pet cats are more in line with modern urban life, and the number of pet cats is especially enhancing rapidly, thus stimulate the development of the pet cat furniture industry. For developers in the field, patent documents provide quantitative information that helps estimating future trends. Therefore, this study was aiming to predicting the possible development of the pet cat furniture industry from the perspective of patent information and the needs of pet cats as the basis for classification.
    In this study, the Global Patent Search System (GPSS) was applied to search for "pet cat furniture" patent applications, including 978 in Taiwan, 3,841 in the U.S., and 12,502 in China, with the precision ratio of 82% to 83% and the recall ratio of 84% to 100%. According to the literature and market surveys, the cat furniture patents were classified according to the environmental needs and physiological needs of pet cats, which were further divided into five categories: cage, pet bed, play equipment, food equipment, and litter box, with the precision ratio of each category ranged from 73% to 93%. The classification was combined with quantitative information to analyze the applicants, the application trend over the years, and to predict the development trend through the S curve.
    The results were summarized as follows: (1) Comparing the types of applications and applicant countries in Taiwan, the United States, and China, the habits of keeping a cat and public sentiments of each country are different; therefore, development path and patent applications also differ. The pet cat furniture market has regional characteristics due to above and it is suggested that domestic developers should target the market within surrounding countries. (2) The Logistic curve model for analysis has found that the industry is currently in a mature stage in China and Taiwan, while the United States in a declining stage. (3) The category of leisure and game resources to meet environmental needs has entered the maturity stage later, so it is suggested that domestic developers should focus mainly on cat furniture for environmental needs.

    摘要 Abstract 目錄 圖目錄 表目錄 第一章 緒論 1.1、 研究背景 1.2、 研究動機與目的 1.3、 章節概要 第二章 文獻探討 2.1、 寵物貓的演化與需求 2.2、 專利分析相關文獻 2.2.1、專利分析特性 2.2.2、專利檢索策略 2.2.3、專利分析 2.3、 產業技術生命週期預測模式 2.3.1、產業定義 2.3.2、產業生命週期 2.3.3、技術預測 2.3.4、成長曲線 2.4、 利用專利資料預測產業發展 第三章 研究方法與分類流程 3.1、範疇界定 3.2、資料庫選擇 3.3、專利分類號篩選 3.4、關鍵字選擇 3.5、檢索式設定 3.6、檢準率與檢全率評估 3.6.1、檢準率評估 3.6.2、檢全率評估 3.7、資料分類 3.8、專利資訊彙整與分析方法 3.8.1、專利資料彙整 3.8.2、分析方法 第四章 研究結果 4.1、趨勢分析 4.1.1、寵物貓家具專利申請趨勢 4.1.2、申請人趨勢 4.1.3、各類別申請趨勢 4.2、趨勢預測 4.2.1、整體趨勢預測 4.2.2、各類別預測 第五章 研究結論與限制 5.1、研究結論 5.2、研究限制 5.3、未來研究方向 參考文獻

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