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研究生: 陳毅哲
Yi-Je Chen
論文名稱: 運用支持向量機理論 評估電力電纜絕緣劣化狀態
The Evaluation of Power Cable Insulation Deterioration Status with Support Vector Machine Theory
指導教授: 吳瑞南
Ruay-Nan Wu
張建國
Chien-Kuo Chang
口試委員: 吳瑞南
Ruay-Nan Wu
連國龍
Kuo-Lung Lian
謝宗煌
Tsung-Huang Hsieh
楊念哲
Nien-Che Yang
張建國
Chien-Kuo Chang
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 電資學院 - 電機工程系
Department of Electrical Engineering
論文出版年: 2019
畢業學年度: 107
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 104
中文關鍵詞: 局部放電電纜接頭絕緣狀態評估支持向量機
外文關鍵詞: partial discharge, cable joint, status assessment, support vector machine
相關次數: 點閱:319下載:5
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  • 地下電纜為電力系統主要設備,雖不易遭受天然災害之破壞,一旦發生故障,除了維修耗時外成本相對昂貴,並且影響民生用電非常明顯,故檢測地下電纜局部放電的技術就相對重要。本研究為探討地下電纜直線接頭絕緣狀態之研究,使用局部放電檢測能依其絕緣之狀態適時進行維修,以避免非預期停電發生。
    本研究採用2種瑕疵共15組地下電纜接頭絕緣破壞試驗資料,藉由解剖電纜試體後觀察破壞路徑,分析與歸類電纜異常種類,並經過雜訊抑制與特徵萃取等步驟取出104種特徵參數,由中挑選6種特徵值組合成5組雙特徵值觀察,發現各組地下電纜接頭的加速劣化試驗,局部放電的趨勢呈現不規則性,難以整理出通用規則適用於所有試驗資料。採用findchangepts函數對15組試驗資料雙特徵曲線尋找絕緣狀態變化之轉折點,取代以往採用放電次數斜率變化的判斷方式,再將所有試驗資料彙整後以隨機方式分為訓練及測試資料,訓練資料運用支持向量機演算出分類超平面後,再以測試資料驗證預測成功率,最終發現「正放電區域放電次數之相位重心」與「正放電區域的放電次數-高度分布之標準差」為本研究表現最佳之特徵值,經過驗證可在絕緣破壞前預測進入危險區,成功率可達82%,分類超平面後續亦可由曲線擬合工具導出多維方程式,未來可使用在監測儀器達成現場判斷電纜狀態的效果。


    Underground cable is the main equipment of power system .It is not easily damaged by natural disasters. Once the fault occurs, in addition to the maintenance time, the cost is relatively expensive, and the impact on people's livelihood electricity consumption is very obvious. Therefore, the method of detecting partial discharge of underground cable is relatively important.This research is to study the insulation state of the underground cable straight joint. Partial discharge detection can be used to evaluate the insulation state of underground cables, so as to avoid unexpected accidents.
    In this paper, two kinds of 15 sets of underground cable joint insulation damage test data were used. After dissecting the cable test body, the damage path was observed, the abnormal types of cable were analyzed and classified, and 104 characteristic parameters were taken after noise suppression and feature extraction. Finally, the phase center of gravity and standard deviation of the number of discharges in the positive discharge area are selected as the characteristic values of the main use. It is found that the accelerated deterioration test of each group of cable joints shows that the trend of partial discharge is irregular, and it is difficult to sort out the general rules for all test data. In this study, the findchangepts function is used to define the turning point of the change of the insulation state. Instead of using the judgment method of the slope change of the discharge times, the double characteristic curves of the 15 sets of cable test data are initially defined in the attention area and the danger zone, and then all the data are collected. The random method is divided into training and test data. After the training data is calculated by the support vector machine to calculate the classification hyperplane, the test data is used to verify the prediction success rate. After verification, the risk can be predicted before the insulation failure, and the success rate can reach 82%. The classification hyperplane can also be followed by a curve fitting tool to derive multi-dimensional equations, which can be used in the future to determine the effect of the cable state on the site.

    第一章 緒論 1.1研究背景與動機 1.2研究方法與步驟 1.3章節概述 第二章 地下電纜接頭與局部放電簡介 2.1地下電纜構造 2.1.1地下電纜 2.1.2地下電纜接頭 2.1.3終端接頭 2.1.4地下電纜瑕疵分類 2.2局部放電定義與類型 2.2.1局部放電定義 2.2.2局部放電原理 2.2.3局部放電種類 第三章 局部放電試驗架構 3.1試驗環境 3.2電纜瑕疵施作 3.3加壓程序 第四章 局部放電資料萃取與支持向量機簡介 4.1資料處理架構 4.1.1濾波程式 4.1.2資料化簡與轉換 4.1.3建立特徵參量 4.2移動平均法 4.3運用Findchangepts函數尋找轉折點 4.4支持向量機 4.4.1線性支持向量機 4.4.2非線性支持向量機 4.5曲線擬合工具介紹 第五章 地下電纜絕緣診斷分析 5.1絕緣診斷步驟系統流程 5.2解剖與分析電纜接頭 5.3電纜生命週期初步定義 5.4運用支持向量機於電纜診斷 5.4.1全部試驗雙特徵曲線轉折點 5.4.3支持向量機實驗結果 5.5提取分類超平面之多元方程式 5.5.1提取分類超平面二維數據 5.5.2分類超平面二維數據之曲線擬合 5.6分析結果 第六章 結論與未來展望 6.1結論 6.2未來展望

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