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研究生: Stefan Tjiptowiyono
Stefan Tjiptowiyono
論文名稱: Incorporating Impact of Rain in Scheduling of Building Structures
Incorporating Impact of Rain in Scheduling of Building Structures
指導教授: 楊亦東
I-Tung Yang
口試委員: 鄭明淵
Min-Yuan Cheng
余文德
Wen-Der Yu
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 工程學院 - 營建工程系
Department of Civil and Construction Engineering
論文出版年: 2023
畢業學年度: 111
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 174
中文關鍵詞: Rain ImpactProject SchedulingSimulationBuilding Structures Activities
外文關鍵詞: Rain Impact, Project Scheduling, Simulation, Building Structures Activities
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Rainfall is a major source of uncertainty in outdoor operations, which can significantly impact the duration of tasks and the overall scheduling of projects. This concern greatly affects building construction projects, where the activity usually involves concrete and steel-related activities. This study proposed RainPlan, a simulation system that incorporates rainfall data to estimate the duration needed for the activity to finish for building construction projects. RainPlan incorporates historical precipitation records and uses Monte Carlo Simulation to generate the rain value, fuzzy techniques that relate to categorizing the level of rain, and experts’ opinions regarding the impact of rain on the activities. RainPlan’s response will be evaluated with two different case studies, which are a two-story house project and a storage warehouse project. Both of these case studies results will be compared against traditional scheduling methods, which don’t take rain into account. The result shows that rain has quite a significant impact that may lead to disaster
delays. A further analysis is also conducted where the project starting time is changed and the city is changed. Different starting times will affect the duration needed to complete the project; a different city will generate a completely different result from other cities since each city has its own historical precipitation record. Our finding suggests that incorporating rain-informed duration estimation into building construction scheduling simulations can lead to more robust and efficient project scheduling, particularly in outdoor operations that are sensitive to weather conditions. RainPlan offers a valuable tool for project managers to improve scheduling accuracy and optimize project outcomes.


Rainfall is a major source of uncertainty in outdoor operations, which can significantly impact the duration of tasks and the overall scheduling of projects. This concern greatly affects building construction projects, where the activity usually involves concrete and steel-related activities. This study proposed RainPlan, a simulation system that incorporates rainfall data to estimate the duration needed for the activity to finish for building construction projects. RainPlan incorporates historical precipitation records and uses Monte Carlo Simulation to generate the rain value, fuzzy techniques that relate to categorizing the level of rain, and experts’ opinions regarding the impact of rain on the activities. RainPlan’s response will be evaluated with two different case studies, which are a two-story house project and a storage warehouse project. Both of these case studies results will be compared against traditional scheduling methods, which don’t take rain into account. The result shows that rain has quite a significant impact that may lead to disaster
delays. A further analysis is also conducted where the project starting time is changed and the city is changed. Different starting times will affect the duration needed to complete the project; a different city will generate a completely different result from other cities since each city has its own historical precipitation record. Our finding suggests that incorporating rain-informed duration estimation into building construction scheduling simulations can lead to more robust and efficient project scheduling, particularly in outdoor operations that are sensitive to weather conditions. RainPlan offers a valuable tool for project managers to improve scheduling accuracy and optimize project outcomes.

ABSTRACT i ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ii TABLE OF CONTENTS iii LIST OF FIGURES vii LIST OF TABLES x LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS xii CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION 1 1.1. Research Background 1 1.2. Research Objectives 3 1.3. Thesis Outline 4 CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW 5 2.1. Project Scheduling 6 2.2. Rain Simulation on Project Scheduling 8 2.3. Rain Impact on Productivity 14 2.4. Fuzzy Theory in Scheduling 20 2.5. Summary 23 CHAPTER 3: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 25 3.1. Historical Data on Rain 25 3.1.1. Categorized Level of Rain 25 3.1.2. Level of Rain Membership Function 26 3.1.3. Generating Random Rainfall 29 3.2. Structure Activities 33 3.2.1. Determine the Activities 33 3.2.2. Survey Questionnaire 36 3.3. Rain Impact on Productivity 37 3.3.1. Productivity Loss of a Single Rainfall 38 3.3.2. Productivity Loss of Multiple Rainfall 41 3.3.3. Incorporating Productivity Loss to the Schedule 45 3.4. Simulation Framework 51 CHAPTER 4: CASE STUDY 54 4.1. Questionnaire result 54 4.2. Simulation on Case Study 1 56 4.2.1. Activity Duration Difference 58 4.2.2. Project Duration Difference 65 4.2.3. Further Analysis 66 4.2.3.1. Effect of Different Cities 66 4.2.3.2. Effect of Different Seasons 68 4.3. Simulation on Case Study 2 71 4.3.1. Activity Duration Difference 72 4.3.2. Project Duration Difference 78 4.3.3. Further Analysis 79 4.3.3.1. Effect of Different Cities 79 4.3.3.2. Effect of Different Seasons 81 4.4. Validation 84 4.5. Summary 84 CHAPTER 5: CONCLUSIONS 87 5.1. Conclusions 87 5.2. Future Research Suggestions 89 REFERENCES 91 APPENDIX 1A: QUESTIONNAIRE FORM (ENGLISH) 94 APPENDIX 1B: QUESTIONNAIRE FORM (中文) 98 APPENDIX 2A: TAIPEI HISTORICAL RAIN DATA 102 APPENDIX 2B: KEELUNG HISTORICAL RAIN DATA 112 APPENDIX 2C: KAOHSIUNG HISTORICAL RAIN DATA 122 APPENDIX 3A: CASE STUDY 1 RESULT KEELUNG SUMMER 132 APPENDIX 3B: CASE STUDY 1 RESULT KAOHSIUNG SUMMER 136 APPENDIX 3C: CASE STUDY 1 RESULT TAIPEI WINTER 140 APPENDIX 3D: CASE STUDY 1 RESULT KEELUNG WINTER 144 APPENDIX 3E: CASE STUDY 1 RESULT KAOHSIUNG WINTER 148 APPENDIX 4A: CASE STUDY 2 RESULT KEELUNG SUMMER 152 APPENDIX 4B: CASE STUDY 2 RESULT KAOHSIUNG SUMMER 155 APPENDIX 4C: CASE STUDY 2 RESULT TAIPEI WINTER 158 APPENDIX 4D: CASE STUDY 2 RESULT KEELUNG WINTER 161 APPENDIX 4E: CASE STUDY 2 RESULT KAOHSIUNG WINTER 164

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