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研究生: 王柏崴
Bo-wei Wang
論文名稱: 應用決策樹評估高電壓電纜接頭絕緣狀態之研究
Development of Decision Trees for the Insulation Status Assessment of High Voltage Cable Joints
指導教授: 吳瑞南
Ruay-Nan Wu
口試委員: 黃仲欽
Jonq-Chin Hwang
郭明哲
Ming-Tse Kuo
謝宗煌
Tsung-Huang Hsieh
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 電資學院 - 電機工程系
Department of Electrical Engineering
論文出版年: 2014
畢業學年度: 102
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 75
中文關鍵詞: 局部放電電纜接頭特徵萃取狀態評估
外文關鍵詞: partial discharge, cable joint, feature extraction, status assessment
相關次數: 點閱:273下載:6
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  • 本文針對電纜接頭做出兩種類型各三組之破壞電壓試驗,試圖從中找出共同的老化規則。首先將所產生之局部放電,經由雜訊抑制、資料轉換、特徵萃取再套用移動平均法後,找出特徵值負放電區域的放電總和-相位分布之相位重心,具有相同的現象產生,重心隨著資料筆數的增加有漸漸往第三象限(180度)靠攏的趨勢,並且在要擊穿之前產生一個轉折的現象。
    接著使用k平均法將資料分群,將其定義為老化中期與後期兩部分,用以訓練決策樹。最後發現特徵值正放電區域的放電總和-相位分布之相位重心、負放電區域的放電總和-相位分布之相位重心和相位解析圖譜之分形維度被決策樹選用的機率很高,高達64 %,將以上三個特徵值用以訓練決策樹得到的整體測試成功率為A1:92 %、A2:87.6 %、A3:95.3 %、B1:97.7 %、B2:91.3 %和B3:95.2 %。最後選用A3之決策樹模型作為評估電纜接頭老化狀態之代表,其交叉比對之整體成功率的平均值高達83.47%,使完成評估電纜接頭絕緣狀態之研究。


    This thesis has finished the breakdown voltage tests for two types of defects each of them have three groups. Try to find out the general rules from the tests after noise inhibited, data transformation, feature extraction and using moving average method. We find out that the feature of the sum of discharge from negative region - center of phase distribution has the same phenomenon in all the defects. The center towards to the third quadrant (180 degrees) as the data increased and turned again before breakdown.
    Then using k-means to cluster data and defined them as medium or late term of aging that use them to train the decision trees. Find out that the sum of discharge from positive region - center of phase distribution, the sum of discharge from negative region - center of phase distribution and fractal dimension have the rate of 64% to be used. Use the features above we can get the overall success rate of A1: 93.2 %, A2: 87.1 %, A3: 94 %, B1: 93.8 %, B2: 89.7 % and B3: 93.7 %. At last, the decision tree from A3 to be chosen as the representative for insulation status assessment of cable joints. The rate of it after cross-comparison is up to 83.47 %. To finish the development for the insulation status assessment of high voltage cable joints.

    中文摘要 I ABSTRACT II 誌謝 III 目錄 IV 圖目錄 VIII 表目錄 XII 第一章 緒論 1 1.1 研究背景與動機 1 1.2 研究方法與步驟 1 1.3 章節概述 3 第二章 局部放電及地下電纜接頭簡介 5 2.1 局部放電簡介 5 2.1.1. 局部放電相關名詞定義 5 2.1.2. 局部放電原理 7 2.1.3. 局部放電種類介紹 9 2.1.4. 局部放電檢測方法 12 2.2 電纜及接頭介紹 13 2.2.1. 地下電纜 13 2.2.2. 地下電纜接頭 14 2.2.3. 電纜與電纜接頭電應力分布 15 第三章 試驗架構及局部放電資料 17 3.1 試驗架構 17 3.1.1. 系統架構 17 3.1.2. 被試物(25kV電纜接頭) 18 3.1.3. 試驗規劃 19 3.2 資料的擷取及轉換 20 3.2.1. 波形檔 20 3.2.2. 放電演進圖譜 21 3.2.3. 特徵值 22 第四章 局部放電數據分析 29 4.1 各試驗資料分析 29 4.1.1. 特徵趨勢圖 33 4.2 移動平均法 36 4.2.1. 移動平均法簡介 36 4.2.2. 移動平均法應用於特徵趨勢圖 37 4.2.3. 第一階段特徵篩選 42 4.3 k平均法 43 4.3.1. k平均法簡介 43 4.3.2. 應用k平均法找出轉折點 45 第五章 地下電纜接頭絕緣診斷系統 47 5.1 決策樹 47 5.2 決策樹(第一版) 53 5.2.1. 瑕疵A1(第一版決策樹) 53 5.2.2. 瑕疵A2(第一版決策樹) 54 5.2.3. 瑕疵A3(第一版決策樹) 55 5.2.4. 瑕疵B1(第一版決策樹) 56 5.2.5. 瑕疵B2(第一版決策樹) 57 5.2.6. 瑕疵B3(第一版決策樹) 58 5.3 決策樹(第二版) 59 5.3.1. 瑕疵A1、A3及B3(第二版決策樹) 60 5.3.2. 瑕疵A2(第二版決策樹) 61 5.3.3. 瑕疵B1(第二版決策樹) 62 5.3.4. 瑕疵B2(第二版決策樹) 63 5.4 結果與討論 64 5.4.1. 高壓電纜接頭絕緣評估規則 64 5.4.2. 決策樹之交叉比對 67 第六章 結論與未來研究方向 69 6.1 結論 69 6.2 未來研究方向 70 參考文獻 71 附錄 74

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