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研究生: 謝智偉
Pieter Hernando Ciasie Suteja
論文名稱: 利用數學模型及循環神經網路進行儲能電池之最佳容量與調度暨以均化能源成本為基礎的太陽能光伏電網連接之研究
Optimal Sizing and Scheduling Battery Storage System and Solar Photovoltaic Grid Connection based on Levelized Cost of Electricity using a Mathematical Model and Recurrent Neural Network
指導教授: 周碩彥
Shuo-Yan Chou
郭伯勳
Po-Hsun Kuo
口試委員: 周碩彥
Shuo-Yan Chou
郭伯勳
Po-Hsun Kuo
羅士哲
Shih-Che Lo
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 工業管理系
Department of Industrial Management
論文出版年: 2023
畢業學年度: 111
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 93
中文關鍵詞: Renewable microgridoptimizationenergy storagegrid connectionLCOEdemand forecasting
外文關鍵詞: Renewable microgrid, optimization, energy storage, grid connection, LCOE, demand forecasting
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  • The lack of flexibility in the grid and the intermittent nature of renewable energy sources often hinders the integration of renewable energy into isolated microgrids and remote regions. One solution to these challenges is the implementation of energy storage systems, which can smooth out fluctuations in renewable energy generation and improve the grid's reliability. Energy storage can also enable the integration of a higher proportion of renewable energy into the grid, reducing the need for fossil fuel-based backup generation. This study introduces a new method for identifying the most financially efficient combination of renewable energy capacity for a self-sufficient microgrid that incorporates energy storage technology. The model considers operational and technical limitations, and the optimization problem is formulated using non-linear programming. The model was tested using historical data on weather, energy consumption, and equipment costs, with the analysis conducted hourly.
    The optimization is done using AMPL with LINDOglobal solver. The data input is obtained from the National Taiwan University of Science and Technology in Taipei, Taiwan. The results show that the optimal capacity for grid-connected mode consists of 1500kW of PV solar and 4500kWh/450kW of battery energy storage. While for off-grid connection, it is 1850kW of PV solar and 5500kWh/500kW of battery energy storage is suggested. This study presents a method that yields the most favorable arrangement of renewable energy sources in a microgrid with a levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of 0.19 $/kWh and a total cost of 5 million dollars, which is more cost-effective than a diesel-based system. The study results show that this optimal design model can assist in planning electricity supply and make it easier to transition to decentralized renewable energy systems in isolated microgrids. Furthermore, using energy storage in combination with renewable energy sources can help overcome the limitations of isolated microgrids and enhance their reliability, making them a viable option for meeting energy needs in remote regions. The adoption of renewable energy microgrids with energy storage can also contribute to the decarbonization of the energy sector and support the transition to a more sustainable future.


    The lack of flexibility in the grid and the intermittent nature of renewable energy sources often hinders the integration of renewable energy into isolated microgrids and remote regions. One solution to these challenges is the implementation of energy storage systems, which can smooth out fluctuations in renewable energy generation and improve the grid's reliability. Energy storage can also enable the integration of a higher proportion of renewable energy into the grid, reducing the need for fossil fuel-based backup generation. This study introduces a new method for identifying the most financially efficient combination of renewable energy capacity for a self-sufficient microgrid that incorporates energy storage technology. The model considers operational and technical limitations, and the optimization problem is formulated using non-linear programming. The model was tested using historical data on weather, energy consumption, and equipment costs, with the analysis conducted hourly.
    The optimization is done using AMPL with LINDOglobal solver. The data input is obtained from the National Taiwan University of Science and Technology in Taipei, Taiwan. The results show that the optimal capacity for grid-connected mode consists of 1500kW of PV solar and 4500kWh/450kW of battery energy storage. While for off-grid connection, it is 1850kW of PV solar and 5500kWh/500kW of battery energy storage is suggested. This study presents a method that yields the most favorable arrangement of renewable energy sources in a microgrid with a levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of 0.19 $/kWh and a total cost of 5 million dollars, which is more cost-effective than a diesel-based system. The study results show that this optimal design model can assist in planning electricity supply and make it easier to transition to decentralized renewable energy systems in isolated microgrids. Furthermore, using energy storage in combination with renewable energy sources can help overcome the limitations of isolated microgrids and enhance their reliability, making them a viable option for meeting energy needs in remote regions. The adoption of renewable energy microgrids with energy storage can also contribute to the decarbonization of the energy sector and support the transition to a more sustainable future.

    ABSTRACT iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENT iv LIST OF FIGURES vii LIST OF TABLES x CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Background 1 1.2 Objectives 2 1.3 Scope and Limitations 2 1.4 Organizations of Thesis 3 CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW 4 2.1 Microgrid 4 2.2 Energy Storage 5 2.2.1 Battery Energy Storage 6 2.2.2 Battery storage in residential PV systems 7 2.2.3 Battery storage in island settings. 7 2.3 Microgrid Operation 8 2.4 Battery Degradation 9 2.5 Artificial Neural Network for Load Forecasting 10 2.6 Research Gap 11 CHAPTER 3 METHODOLOGY 14 3.1 Problem Definition 14 3.2 Techno-economic model-based optimal sizing of a renewable microgrid 15 3.3 Forecasting with RNN-LSTM 17 3.4 Case study 19 3.4.1 Input data 20 3.4.2 Experimental Design 20 3.5 Solar Photovoltaic Generation Profile Model 21 3.6 The connection model of the main grid power exchange 21 3.7 Battery energy storage model 23 3.7.1 Battery initial cost 24 3.7.2 Battery degradation cost 24 3.7.3 Battery constraint 25 3.8 Problem formulation 26 3.9 Financial Feasibility Assessment 27 CHAPTER 4 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 30 4.1 Weather (GHI, temperature) and load demand prediction 30 4.2 Optimization and scheduling 32 4.2.1 Grid-connected microgrid 33 4.2.2 Off-grid microgrid 48 4.3 Scenarios comparison 64 4.4 Discussion 67 4.5 Financial analysis 72 CHAPTER 5 CONCLUSION & FUTURE WORK 75 5.1 Conclusion 75 5.2 Future Research 76 REFERENCES 77

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