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研究生: 吳麗雯
Li-Wen Wu
論文名稱: 考慮風險趨避之農業節水補貼機制設計
Agricultural Water Saving Subsidy Mechanism Design Under Risk Aversion
指導教授: 林希偉
Shi-Woei Lin
口試委員: 李強笙
Chiang-Sheng Lee
彭奕農
Yi-Nung Peng
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 工業管理系
Department of Industrial Management
論文出版年: 2022
畢業學年度: 110
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 50
中文關鍵詞: 節水補貼賽局理論委託代理理論機制設計風險趨避兩部分補貼
外文關鍵詞: water saving subsidy, game theory, principal-agent theory, mechanism design, risk aversion, two-part subsidy
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近年來,台灣受氣候變遷的影響,造成旱澇不均的極端氣候更加頻繁,並且受地形所限難以有效保留雨水,因此水資源經常出現捉襟見肘的窘況,有鑑於此,實施節水政策刻不容緩。然而目前臺灣用水結構以農業用水占比最多,高達百分之七十,因此從農業用水進行管理介入是解決臺灣水資源不足的方法之一。但由於用水單位的風險態度會顯著影響其決策,且由於水資源是農業生產的關鍵要素,因此使用水單位在節水上的決策往往更加謹慎,當風險趨避程度高的情況下,可能導致節水政策參與度降低。
本研究考慮用水單位存在風險趨避(risk aversion)情況下,運用委託代理之賽局機制設計為基礎,建構農業節水補貼機制模型及兩部分農業節水補貼(two-part subsidy)機制模型,並求解資訊對稱及不對稱時的最佳補貼、最佳節水量及最佳努力程度。本研究結果不僅提供不同形式的補貼,也能幫助管制單位建立針對風險趨避之用水單位的補貼誘因,促成社會效益最大化之目的。


In recent years, Taiwan has been affected by climate change, resulting in extreme weather with droughts and floods. Furthermore, due to the specific terrain structure of Taiwan, it is difficult to effectively retain rainwater. In view of this, it is imperative to implement water-saving policies. Because agricultural water consumption accounts for 70% of Taiwan’s water usage at present, better management of agricultural water uses thus can help solving the issue of shortage of water resources in Taiwan. However, the risk attitude of water users significantly affects their decision-making. Since water is a key element of agricultural production, agricultural water users tend to be more cautious in their decision-making on water conservation. If the degree of risk aversion is high, it may lead to lower participation in water conservation practices.
This study designs game-theoretic mechanism models for water resource management based on the concept of principal-agent theory. In particular, under the assumption that the water users are risk-averse, an agricultural water-saving subsidy mechanism model and a two-part agricultural water-saving subsidy mechanism model are formulated and solved analytically. The results of this study suggest useful guidelines for regulators to design subsidies that can provide sufficient incentives for risk-averse agricultural water users to make appropriate water saving effort to maximize social benefits.

摘要 i Abstract ii 誌謝 iii 目錄 iv 圖目錄 vii 表目錄 viii 第1章 緒論 1 1.1 研究背景與動機 1 1.2 研究目的 3 1.3 論文架構 4 第2章 文獻回顧 5 2.1 農業水資源管理 5 2.2 農業與風險態度 7 2.3 賽局理論在水資源管理之應用 8 2.3.1 委託代理理論 9 第3章 農業節水補貼機制模型 11 3.1 模型理論基礎 11 3.1.1 激勵相容機制 11 3.1.2 風險趨避 12 3.2 模型設定 12 3.2.1 模型相關參數及決策變數 12 3.2.2 模型相關函數 13 3.3 資訊對稱下之農業節水補貼機制模型 15 3.3.1 模型建立 15 3.3.2 模型求解 15 3.4 資訊不對稱下之農業節水補貼機制模型 16 3.4.1 模型建立 16 3.4.2 模型求解 17 3.5 模型結果探討 20 3.6 數值分析 21 3.6.1 函數設定及步驟 21 3.6.2 分析結果 22 3.7 只提供誘因給單一類型用水者的節水補貼方案 31 第4章 兩部分農業節水補貼機制模型 32 4.1 模型理論基礎 32 4.1.1 兩部分補貼 32 4.2 模型設定 33 4.2.1 數學符號定義 33 4.2.2 模型相關函數 33 4.3 資訊對稱下之兩部分農業節水補貼機制模型 35 4.3.1 模型建立 35 4.3.2 模型求解 35 4.3.3 模型結果探討 36 4.4 資訊不對稱下之兩部分農業節水補貼機制模型 37 4.4.1 模型建立 37 4.4.2 模型求解 37 4.4.3 模型結果探討 38 4.5 數值分析 39 4.5.1 分析結果 39 第5章 結論與建議 45 5.1 結論 45 5.2 研究限制與未來建議 46 參考文獻 47

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