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研究生: 陸柏瑋
Bo-Wei Lu
論文名稱: 集成學習之模型融合技術於營建工程應用
Application of ensemble learning for model fusion in multi-engineering models
指導教授: 呂守陞
Sou-sen Leu
口試委員: 辛其亮
施俊揚
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 工程學院 - 營建工程系
Department of Civil and Construction Engineering
論文出版年: 2020
畢業學年度: 108
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 49
中文關鍵詞: 集成學習模型融合洩漏偵測機器學習決策選擇
外文關鍵詞: Model fusion
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  • 拜現代科技發產迅速所賜,資料的存取越來越方便,這大大的降低了使用機器學期的門檻。比起傳統以經驗定勝負的方式,現在有更多的資訊可提供決策者做選擇,然而在仰賴機器學習進行決策時,資料的解讀方式或不同是模型的選擇可能會讓提供的資訊有所差異。因此,集成學習內的模型融合技術,能將各方模型所做的決策機制做融合,以達到「三個臭皮匠,勝過一個諸葛亮」的目的。也提供決策者一個更可靠、低風險的決策建議。
    本研究將透過模擬軟體建立自來水供水管網之模擬資料,以流量、管徑等資料建立兩個獨立模型,用以作為管段問題偵測使用。後再加上集成學習的模型融合技術,將兩模型做合併,以達到合併、優化兩模型預測能力的目的。


    Technology grows fast these days, which makes it easier to access tons of data for machine learning. It becomes more convenient to get a bunch of information to help decision-makers, rather than decide everything by pure experiences. However, machine learning can be a Double-side blade. The method and angle you choose to analyze data matters a lot, it may help decision-makers do the right thing or take them into the wrong way. Fortunately, there is a model fusion technique in the Ensemble learning field. It can help us combine several models into a single model and take potential advantage from every one of them. That can provide a better suggestion to decision-makers.
    This research first used Epanet software to simulate the pipeline data and then two independent models were built to predict pipeline problems. It is observed that the combination of both the Model fusion technique to give a better prediction for problem detection.

    中文摘要……………………………………………………………………….......I 英文摘要…………………………………………………………………………. II 致 謝…………………………………………………………………….........III 第一章 緒論……………………………………………………………...….…..2 1.1 研究背景與動機…………………………………………………...........2 1.2 研究範圍與限制……………………………………………………..….2 1.3 研究架構與流程………………………………………………………...4 1.4 論文架構………………………………………………………...............5 第二章 文獻回顧………………………………………………………………..6 2.1 水力分析軟體(Epanet)…………..……………………………………..6 2.2 創新生物共生演算法(SOS)…….……………………………………..6 2.3 集成學習…………………………...…………………………………..7 2.4 資料融合……………………………………….……………………....9 第三章 研究方法……………………………………………………………….12 3.1 Epanet水力分析軟體………….…..…………………………………..12 3.2 創新生物共生演算法 ……………………………….……….....13 3.3 預測模型建立…………………………………………………………15 3.3.1 洩漏量機率分布模型………………………………………..…….15 3.3.2 無因次量模型………………………………………………..…….16 3.4 集成學習………………………………………………………………17 第四章 實驗設計與分析……………………………………………………….20 4.1 模型建構與實驗設計 ………………………………………………..20 4.2 最佳化演算……………….……………………………………….…..25 4.3 模型建立………………………………………………………………29 4.4 集成學習………………………………………………………………31 第五章 資料融合分析………………………………………………...............…32 5.1 洩漏量機率分布模型 ………………………………………………..32 5.2 無因次量模型...........................................................................……….34 5.3 Adaboost……………………………….……………………………….36 第六章 結論與建議……………………………………………………………...38 6.1 研究成果………………………………………………………………..38 6.2 研究限制與未來研究建議……………………………………………..38 參考文獻………………………………………………………………………….40

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