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研究生: Satrio Samudro Aji Basuki
Satrio Samudro Aji Basuki
論文名稱: 基於反應曲面法最佳化之生命週期資產管理模型
A Life-Cycle Asset Management Model by Response Surface Method Based Optimization
指導教授: 王孔政
Kung-Jeng Wang
口試委員: 郭人介
Ren-Jieh Kuo
郭財吉
Tsai-Chi Kuo
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 工業管理系
Department of Industrial Management
論文出版年: 2023
畢業學年度: 111
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 63
中文關鍵詞: 資產管理維護策略蒙地卡羅模擬響應曲面法總體擁有成本
外文關鍵詞: asset management, maintenance strategy, Monte Carlo simulation, response surface methodology, total cost of ownership
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  • 由於固定的維護策略,傳統的資產管理很容易陷入局部優化。本研究將維護策略規劃整合到資產管理方案中,以最大限度地降低年化資產總體擁有成本 (TCO)。本研究所提出的模型中考慮的關鍵步驟,包括故障率建模、預防性維護的可靠度建模和 TCO 建模。蒙地卡羅模擬和響應曲面方法 (RSM) 被用作所提出模型的綜合解決方案。藉由水泥製造廠的案例分析表明,該模型提供了理想的優化結果。從設備貢獻、熟料價格和升級率等方面進行敏感度分析。本研究所設計的模型有助於預防性維護策略和使用壽命的最佳組合,從而提供最低的資產年化總體擁有成本。


    Conventional asset management were easily trapped in local optimization owing to fixed maintenance strategies. This study integrates the maintenance strategic planning in the asset management scheme to minimize the annualized asset Total Cost of Ownership (TCO). Critical steps are considered in the proposed model including failure rate modeling, reliability modeling for preventive maintenance, and TCO modeling. Monte Carlo simulation and response surface methodology (RSM) are used as an integrated solution approach for the proposed model. The case study in a cement manufacturing plant shows that the model delivers the desired optimization result. Sensitivity analysis is carried out in terms of equipment contribution, clinker price, and escalation rate. The developed model contributes to the optimum combination of preventive maintenance strategy and useful life which provides the minimum asset annualized TCO.

    ACKNOWLEDGEMENT v TABLE OF CONTENTS vi LIST OF FIGURES vii LIST OF TABLES viii 1. Introduction 1 2. Literature survey 3 2.1 Asset management 3 2.2 Total cost of ownership 3 2.3 Reliability and maintainability 5 2.4 Monte Carlo simulation 6 3. Modeling and solution 7 3.1 Parameter fitting 12 3.2 Reliability under preventive maintenance 12 3.3 Total cost of ownership 14 3.4 Overall model representation 17 3.5 Solution approach 19 4. Case study and sensitivity analysis 21 4.1 Case study 21 4.2 Sensitivity analysis 31 5. Conclusion 34 Reference 36 Appendix 41

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