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研究生: 莊雯菱
Wen-Ling Chuang
論文名稱: 運用專利共詞分析探討太陽能電池之發展趨勢
A Study on Technology Development of Solar Cell:Based on Patent Co-word Analysis
指導教授: 劉顯仲
John S. Liu
口試委員: 陳正綱
CHENG-KANG CHEN
盧煜煬
Louis Y. Y. Lu
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 科技管理研究所
Graduate Institute of Technology Management
論文出版年: 2010
畢業學年度: 98
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 72
中文關鍵詞: 太陽能電池社會網路分析專利分析文字探勘共詞分析
外文關鍵詞: patent analysis、text mining
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  • 由於世界的扁平化,全球商業競爭不斷地愈演愈烈,唯有持續創新才能夠永續企業的競爭能力。在今日全球氣候變遷與環保議題壟罩的時代,太陽能被視為最具能夠節能減碳與緩和溫室效應的替代能源,可以預期的是太陽能產業將為近代之明星產業,更是擁有高科技半導體與光電產業的台灣搶入該產業之大好契機。由於矽原料與主要技術主要掌握於美日歐大廠,台灣企業必須活用技術預測之方式以策略性掌握太陽能產業,本研究採用共詞分群方法於分析太陽能專利並搭配科技預測的工具來呈現目前的太陽能技術成熟度與預測未來最具前瞻性之太陽能電池。本研究之結果顯示,CdTe, CIS/CIGS與 Group III-V 太陽能電池將因稀有金屬產量有限而限制其長遠技術發展,而主要大宗的矽太陽能電池若無法近期解決當前的矽原料短缺之問題,新興太陽能電池將最受矚目成為未來之主流技術。


    Driven by globalization, business enterprises have since been growing in exponential rates to gain competitiveness, and the only way for a company to gain a strong foothold in the industry is through the innovation and development of new products and services.
    This is especially crucial in the energy sector, where solar cell technology is expected to be one of brightest advanced industries and also one of potential chances for the Taiwanese high-technological (hi-tech) companies to keep up with global competitiveness through its strong backing by the established strong semiconductor and optoelectronics industries.
    This research paper proposes the use of the “Overlapping Co-clustering” approach to first enhance the suitability of current technology classification and then integrate the use of technology forecasting tools to increase the reliability and accuracy for technology forecasting. In the meantime, these tools can also be used to demonstrate current technology in solar cell development and future movements.
    Research findings shows that the current silicon shortage causes obstruction in the potentiality of silicon-type solar cells. Moreover, development of the CdTe, CIS/CIGS and Group III-V is contrained by the decreasing availability of scarce mentals. From current findings, the emerging PV is expected to become the future solar cell in the long run due to its environmentally-friendly characteristics.

    中文摘要 I Abstract II 致謝 III Table of Contents IV List of Tables VI List of Figures VII Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Research Background and Motivation 1 1.2 The Importance of Patent Analysis 5 1.3 Research Purpose 10 1.4 Research Structure 11 Chapter 2 SOLAR CELL TECHNOLOGY AND INDUSTRY 13 2.1 Solar Cells 13 2.1.1 Overview of the Industry 13 2.1.2 Solar Cell Technology 15 Chapter 3 LITERATURE REVIEW 17 3.1 Patent Analysis 17 Chapter 4 RESEARCH METHODLOGY 23 4.1 Research Procedure 23 4.2 Acquisition of the Text of Patent Documents 24 4.3 Expert Opinion and Keyword Extraction 25 4.4 Build the Affiliation Matrix and Network 25 4.5 Clustering 26 4.6 Growth Curve Analysis 27 4.7 Strategic diagram 28 Chapter 5 DATA ANALYSIS 30 5.1 Data and Keywords 30 5.2 Clustering Result 31 5.3 Number of Patents 33 5.4 Country Statistics 35 5.5 Frequency of Keyword Statistics 36 5.6 Keyword Centrality 37 5.7 Co-word Statistics 38 5.8 Co-word Networks 39 5.9 Strategic Diagram 43 5.10 Growth Curve Analysis 46 Chapter 6 CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS 51 6.1 Research Findings and Implications 51 6.2 Limitations 55 6.3 Direction for Future Research 56 References 57 English References 57 Chinese References 61 Appendix I TOOLS AND PROCEDURES: 62 Appendix II International Patent Classification, (IPC) 63

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