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研究生: 史皓文
Hao-Wen Shih
論文名稱: 社經因子與肺癌存活之關係及其潛在機制的中介分析
Mediation Analysis of the Relationship between Socioeconomic Factors and Lung Cancer Survival
指導教授: 林希偉
Shi-Woei Lin
口試委員: 羅士哲
Shih-Che Lo
黃麗妃
Li-Fei Huang
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 工業管理系
Department of Industrial Management
論文出版年: 2015
畢業學年度: 103
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 90
中文關鍵詞: 社會經濟地位肺癌存活分析中介風險比例模型
外文關鍵詞: socioeconomic status, lung cancer, survival analysis, mediator, cox model
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癌症是台灣死因之首,其中肺癌又是死亡率最高的癌症,如何有效降低肺癌死亡率也隨之成為重要的研究議題。而社會經濟地位的差異往往影響患者得到肺癌的機率、發現肺癌的期別與存活的時間,找出社會經濟因子與肺癌存活時間的關係與其潛在機制,將有助於提升醫療決策的品質與改善醫療資源的分配。本研究以美國國家癌症研究所的The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results(SEER)資料庫為分析資料,透過敘述統計、存活分析、中介分析探討社經因子與肺癌的關係與期別所造成的中介效果。本研究利用基於反事實的中介效果分析發現雖然社經地位高的病患生存率較高、風險比較低,但亦實證其間的關係有一部分可以被歸因為期別所造成的中介效果,表示透過初期檢測的介入將有助於提高存活。


Cancer is the main cause of death in Taiwan. Among all cancers, lung cancer has the highest mortality in Taiwan. Because cancer patients of lower socioeconomic status tend to have poorer survival, conducting a mediation analysis of the relationship between socioeconomic factors and survival of lung cancer may determine whether an intervention should be in the area of early detection or in the area of treatment, and thus can lead to a better allocation of medical resources. In this study, we analyze the database from The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) project of the National Cancer Institute of the United State by using survival analysis techniques. In particular, a novel medication analysis based on the counterfactual variables was implemented to investigate the mediation effect of the cancer stage on the relationship between socioeconomic factors and lung cancer survival. Results show that the cancer stage at presentation explains a significant portion of socioeconomic differences in lung cancer survival. This finding suggests that a policy which can lead to an intervention in the area of early detection should be considered.

摘要 I ABSTRACT II 致謝 III 目錄 IV 表目錄 VI 圖目錄 VIII 第一章 緒論1 1.1研究背景 1 1.2研究目的 3 第二章 文獻探討 4 2.1 肺癌 4 2.1.1肺癌介紹 4 2.1.2肺癌期別 6 2.2癌症與社會經濟地位的關係 8 2.3肺癌與社會經濟地位的關係 9 第三章 研究方法 15 3.1研究資料 15 3.1.1資料庫介紹 15 3.1.2資料篩選 18 3.2存活分析 19 3.2.1 Kaplan Meier法 20 3.2.2 Cox 模型 21 3.3中介效果 22 第四章 資料分析與研究結果 28 4.1研究變數 28 4.1.1變數介紹 28 4.1.2研究變數篩選 30 4.2敘述統計分析 33 4.3存活分析 41 4.3.1Kaplan Meier法 41 4.3.2Cox模型 49 4.4中介分析 68 4.4.1Cox模型風險比變化 68 4.4.2基於反事實的中介效果分析 78 第五章 結論 82 5.1結論 82 5.2研究限制 84 5.3研究建議 84 參考文獻 85

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