研究生: |
陳文生 Wen-sheng Chen |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
國際糖價預測與國內糖價計算之研究 A Study of Predicting the International Sugar Price and Calculating the Domestic Sugar Price |
指導教授: |
許總欣
Tsung-Shin Hsu |
口試委員: |
楊長林
none 紀佳芬 Chia-Fen Chi |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 工業管理系 Department of Industrial Management |
論文出版年: | 2007 |
畢業學年度: | 95 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 81 |
中文關鍵詞: | 國際糖價 、國內糖價 、進口原料糖 、進口白糖 、糖價預測 |
外文關鍵詞: | International sugar price, domestic sugar price, Import the raw sugar price, Import the Refined sugar price, the sugar price is predicted |
相關次數: | 點閱:338 下載:5 |
分享至: |
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
本研究藉由個案研究方法,收集、整理、分析、與討論個案研究資料,歸納出研究結果。本研究「國際糖價預測與國內糖價計算」之研究重點如下:
(1)影響國際糖價漲跌趨勢之主要因素。
(2)世界主要砂糖生產國與消費國的供需情況。
(3)國際糖價走勢的預測時點,降低原糖進口成本。
(4)國際糖價走勢與國內砂糖供需關係分析。
(5)以最佳產銷庫存,穩定國內砂糖供需關係。
(6)國內糖價由市場供需決定。
(7)簡化國內糖價計算的正確性。
本研究結論:
(1)預期2006/07年原糖價格將呈大幅波動狀態,而砂糖價格仍受到供>需基本面的影響。
(2)預期未來低糖價消費增,國內砂糖用量仍有成長空間。
(3)最近六年國際粗,白糖價月平均值與預測值走勢圖可供參考。
(4)國際糖價走勢預測,低買進口原料糖,降低煉製成本及最佳產銷庫存,穩定國內物價與供需平衡。
This study is with the study approach of the case, collect , put in order , analyse , and discuss the case study materials , sum up the result of study. This study focal point that ' the international sugar price is predicted and calculated with the domestic sugar price ' of study is as follows:
(1)Influence the main factor of the world sugar price ups and downs trend.
(2)Main sugar producing country of the world and consuming the supply and demand situation of the country.
(3)Order at the time of the prediction of the world sugar price tendency, reduce the raw sugar and import the cost.
(4)World sugar price tendency and domestic sugar supply and demand are concerned and analysed.
(5)With the best production and marketing stock, steady domestic sugar supply and demand relation.
(6)The domestic sugar price is decided by market supply and demand.
(7)Exactness of simplifying the domestic sugar price and calculating.
This study conclusion:
(1)It is expected that the price of raw sugar will present the state of fluctuating by a wide margin in 2006/07 years (low point will be clear, the culmination is unstable), but the price of sugar will still be supported > Need the influence of the basic side.
(2)It is expected that the less sugar price is consumed and increased in the future , domestic sugar consumption grows up in the space.
(3)World sugar price in the most recent six years, the monthly average of the raw & white sugar price and tendency picture of predicted value are suitable for consulting .
(4)The world sugar price tendency is predicted, it is low to buy a raw sugar from the entrance , reduce and refine cost and the best production and marketing stock, steady domestic price and equilibrium of supply and demand.
中文部分
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英文部分
Carol A.Ptak and Eli Schragenheim(2003). ERP Tools,Techniques,and Applications for Integrating the Supply Chain, Second Edition.A CRC Press Company.
PHILIP KOTLER and Kevin Lane Keller(2007). A ERAMEWORK FOR Marketing Management. THIRD EDITION. Person Prentice Hall.
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