簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 張哲源
Che-Yuan Chang
論文名稱: 當資料來自MA(1)模型假設下Shewhart管制圖與EWMA管制圖製程監控之比較
The comparison of the monitoring abilities of Shewhart and EWMA control charts when the data come from the MA(1) model
指導教授: 李強笙
Chiang-Sheng Lee
口試委員: 葉瑞徽
Ruey-Huei Yeh
潘昭賢
Chao-hsiew Pan
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 工業管理系
Department of Industrial Management
論文出版年: 2005
畢業學年度: 93
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 45
中文關鍵詞: Shewhart管制圖相關性資料平均連串長度MA(1)EWMA管制圖
外文關鍵詞: MA(1) model, correlative data, EWMA control chart, Shewhart control chart, average run length
相關次數: 點閱:304下載:0
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 在討論連續製造之產品時所使用的管制圖,通常都假設資料服從常態分配且彼此間相互獨立;但在實際生產過程中,常因機器磨損等因素造成產品之間具有相關性,若還是使用傳統管制圖去分析時,將會導致錯誤的分析結果。本文主要假設相關性資料來自時間序列MA(1)模型時,對於Shewhart管制圖和EWMA管制圖在製程監控能力之探討。另外,由於MA(1)模型中對於誤差項的假設皆為常態分配,但在實際上未必如此,所以本文又針對誤差項做了不同分配之假設。因理論上不容易計算Shewhart管制圖和EWMA管制圖的平均連串值,故使用模擬方法來進行分析;結果發現,在相關性資料下,當製程發生微小變動時,EWMA管制圖的監控能力比Shewhart管制圖要來得好。


    The data are usually supposed to be a random sample from normal distribution in the discussion of control chart. But in actual production process, the machine could create the correlative products because of the attrition. If we still use the traditional control chart to analyze them, it will lead to the wrong conclusion. We assume that the correlative data come from the time series model, MA(1), to discuss the monitoring abilities of EWMA control chart and Shewhart control chart. Since it is not true that the white noise is always from the normal distribution in MA(1) model, we also consider other distributions for the white noise in our paper. In theory, it is hard to calculate the ARL values for Shewhart and EWMA control charts, so we compute them by simulation. Finally, the simulation shows that the monitoring ability of EWMA control chart is better than Shewhart control chart for the correlative data.

    摘要 I 英文摘要 II 誌謝 III 目錄 IV 圖目錄 VI 表目錄 VII 第一章 緒論 1 1.1 前言 1 1.2 研究動機與目的 2 1.3 研究架構 3 第二章 傳統管制圖介紹及相關文獻探討 5 2.1 管制圖的統計基礎和判讀 5 2.2 獨立型的管制圖 8 2.2.1 Shewhart之 管制圖 9 2.2.2 個別值 管制圖 10 2.2.3 指數加權移動平均管制圖(EWMA) 10 2.3 相關型的管制圖 12 2.4 非常態型的管制圖 13 第三章 資料來自MA(1)下Shewhart和EWMA管制圖之探討 15 3.1 MA(1)模型下之Shewhart管制圖 16 3.1.1 計算Shewhart管制圖在MA(1)下之平均連串長度 16 3.1.2 修正Shewhart管制圖之管制界限 18 3.2 MA(1)模型下之EWMA管制圖 19 3.2.1 計算EWMA管制圖在MA(1)下之平均連串長度 19 3.2.2 修正EWMA管制圖之管制界限 22 第四章 數值分析 23 4.1 MA(1)模型之誤差項為常態分配 23 4.1.1 探討修正後的管制界限 23 4.1.2 常態分配下之 值的變化 24 4.2 不同分配下之 值的變化 30 第五章 結論及未來的研究方向 38 5.1 結論 38 5.2 未來研究方向 39 參考文獻 40 附錄 Shewhart與EWMA管制圖的模擬程式 43

    【1】林茂文(1992),時間數列分析與預測,華泰書局。
    【2】洪錦魁(1993),Visual C++ 物件導向程式設計,松崗電腦圖書資料股分有限公司。
    【3】徐雅甄(2002),EWMA管制圖對自相關性製程的常態假設穩健性之研究,國立交通大學統計所論文。
    【4】徐世輝(1996),品質管理,三民書局。
    【5】古頤榛(2004),Visual C++ 6教學範本,碁峰資訊股份有限公司。
    【6】Baker, C. T. H.(1977). The Numerical Treatment of Integral Equations. Clarendom Press, Oxford, England.
    【7】Borror, C. M., Montgomery, D. C. and Runger, G. C. (1991).
    ”Robustness of the EWMA Control Chart to Not-normality”. Journal of Quality Technology, Vol. 31, No. 3, pp. 309~316.
    【8】Burr, I. J.(1967)”The Effect of Nonnormality on Constant for and R Charts”. Industrial Quality Control, Vol. 23.
    【9】Champ, C. W. and Rigdon, S. E.(1991). ”A Comparison of the Markov Chain and the Integral Equation Approaches for Evaluating the Run Length Distribution of Quality Control Charts”. Communication in statistics, Vol. 20, No. 1, pp. 191~204.
    【10】Chandrasekhar, S. (1960).Radiative Transfer. New York.
    【11】Chou, Y. M.(1998). “Transforming Non-normal Data to Normal in Statistical Process Control”. Journal of Quality Technology, Vol. 30, No. 2, pp. 131~141.
    【12】Conte, S. D. and de Boor, C.(1980). Elementary Numerical Analysis. McGraw-Hill, New York, NY.
    【13】Crowder, S. V. (1987a). “A Simple Method for Studying Run-Length Distributions of Exponential Weighted Moving Average Charts”. Technometrics, Vol. 24, No. 4, pp. 401~407.
    【14】Crowder, S. V. (1987b). “Average Run Length of Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Charts”. Journal of Quality Technology, Vol. 19, No. 3, pp. 161~164.
    【15】Crowder, S. V. (1989). “Design of Exponential Weighted Moving Average Schemes”. Journal of Quality Technology, Vol. 21, No. 3, pp. 155~162.
    【16】Harris, T. J. and Ross, W. H.(1991). “Statistical Process Control Procedures for Correlated Observations”. Canadian Journal of Chemical Engineering, Vol. 69, pp. 48~57.
    【17】Lu, C. W. and M. R. Reynolds, Jr.(1999). “Control Charts for Monitoring the Mean and Variance of Autocorrelated Processes”. Journal of Quality Technology, Vol. 31, No. 3, pp. 259~274.
    【18】Lucas, J. M. and Saccucci, M. S.(1990). “Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Schemes : Properties and Enhancements”. Technometrics, Vol. 32, pp. 1~16.
    【19】Montgomery, D. C.(2001). Introduction to Statistical Quality Control . 4rd Ed, New York.
    【20】Roberts, S. W.(1959). “Control Chart Tests Based on Geometric Moving Averages”. Technometrics, Vol. 1, pp. 239~250.
    【21】Stoumbos, Z. G. and Reynolds, Jr(2000). “Robustness to Non-normality and Autocorrelation of Individuals Control Charts”. Journal of Statistical computation and simulation, Vol. 66, pp. 145~187.
    【22】Zhang, N. F.(1998). “A Statistical Control Chart for Stationary Process Data”. Technometrics, Vol. 40, pp. 24~38.

    無法下載圖示
    全文公開日期 本全文未授權公開 (校外網路)
    全文公開日期 本全文未授權公開 (國家圖書館:臺灣博碩士論文系統)
    QR CODE