簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 吳秀碧
Evina - Wiguna
論文名稱: 需求符合BASS模型之時尚產品供應鏈最佳訂購政策之研究
OPTIMIZING ORDERING POLICY FOR SUPPLY CHAINS OF FASHION PRODUCTS WITH BASS MODEL DEMAND
指導教授: 周碩彥
Shuo-Yan Chou
口試委員: 王孔政
Kung-Jeng Wang
喻奉天
Vincent F. Yu
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 工業管理系
Department of Industrial Management
論文出版年: 2010
畢業學年度: 98
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 68
中文關鍵詞: 時尚產品Bass模型供應鏈廣告
外文關鍵詞: Fashion product, Bass model, Supply chain, Advertising
相關次數: 點閱:264下載:0
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 如今的時尚產品增長速度非常快,尤其是技術與服裝。然而,時尚產品有短暫的生命週期。許多研究探討關於時尚產品及如何預測需求。一般來說人們使用正態分佈來表示需求,因為它有鐘形的形式,類似於短生命週期的需求。另一種預測需求方法來是通過使用Bass模式的需求。該模型有個鐘形的形式而已被用來預測新產品。本研究探討時尚產品使用Bass模型的需求。時尚產品的特點是短生命週期與擁有兩次秩序機會。此外,我們認為製造商和零售商之間的供應鏈都跟隨Bass模型的需求。本研究目標是獲得最佳訂貨量與最加訂貨時間系統用于減少總成本。後來,我們增加行銷工作擴展模式,例廣告, 令創新者及模仿者都被影響到.


    Fashion product has grown very fast especially technology and garment nowadays. However, it has short life-cycle. Many researches study about fashion product and how to forecast the demand. Generally they used normal distribution to represent the demand because it has bell-shaped form that is similar with short life-cycle demand. Another way to forecast the demand is by using Bass model demand. The model has a bell-shaped form and has been used to forecast new product. This research studies fashion product with Bass model demand. The characteristics of fashion product that were used are short life-cycle, having two chances to order. In addition, this research considers supply chain between manufacturer and retailer that face Bass model demand. The objective is to obtain the optimal order quantities and the time to place second order that minimize total cost system. Later, the model is extended by adding marketing effort, namely advertising that influences not only innovators but also imitators.

    中文摘要 i ABSTRACT ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENT iii TABLE OF CONTENTS iv LIST OF FIGURES vi LIST OF TABLES viii CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Background and Motivation 1 1.2 Objectives 3 1.3 Research Scope 3 1.4 Methodology 4 1.5 Organization of Thesis 4 CHAPTER 2 LITERATUR REVIEW 6 2.1 Fashion Product 6 2.2 Bass Model 7 2.3 General Bass Model 10 2.4 Supply Chain 12 2.5 Numerical Optimization 13 CHAPTER 3 MODEL FORMULATION 15 3.1 Notations and Assumption 15 3.1.1 Notations 15 3.1.1.1 Traditional Bass Model (TBM) Notations 15 3.1.1.2 General Bass Model (GBM) Notations 16 3.1.1.3 Model Notations 16 3.1.2Assumptions 17 3.1.2.1 Model1 17 3.1.2.2 Model 2 18 3.2 System description 18 3.3 Model Formulation 23 3.3.1 Model 1 23 3.3.2 Model 2 24 3.4 Solution Approach 25 CHAPTER 4 NUMERICAL EXAMPLE AND ANALYSIS 27 4.1 Numerical Example 27 4.2 Numerical Analysis 29 CHAPTER 5 CONCLUSION AND FUTURE WORK 39 5.1 Conclusion 39 5.2 Future Work 40 REFERENCE 41 APPENDIX 44

    Bass, F.M. (1969). A New Product Growth for Model Consumer Durables. Management Science 15(5) pp. 215-227.
    Bass, F.M., Krishnan, T.V., Jain, D.C. (1994). Why The Bass Model Fits Without Decision Variables. Marketing Science 13(3) pp. 203-223.
    Boyaci, T., Gallego,G. (2002). Coordinating Pricing and Inventory Replenishment Policies for One Wholesaler and One or More Geographically Dispersed Retailers. Int. J. Production Economics 77 pp.95-111.
    Chern, M.-S., Teng, J.-T., Yang, H.-L. (2001). Inventory Lot Sized Policy for The Bass Diffusion Models of New Durable Products. Journal of The Chinese Institute of Engineers 24(2) pp. 237-244.
    Choi, T-M. (2007). Pre-season stocking and pricing decisions for fashion retailers with multiple information updating. Int. J. Production Economics 106, pp. 146-170.
    Fisher, M., Rajaram, K., Raman, A. (2001). Optimizing Inventory Replenishment of Retail Fashion Products. Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 3(3) pp. 230-241.
    Fruchter, G.E., Van den Bulte, C. (2009). Optimal Advertising under General Bass Model of New Product Diffusion. http//www.marketing.wharton.upenn.edu
    Guseo, R., Guidolin, M. (2008) Cellular Automata and Riccati Equation Models for Diffusion of Innovators. Stat. Meth. Appl. 17 pp. 291-308.
    Ho, T.-H., Savin, S., Terwiesch, C. (2002). Managing Demand and Sales Dynamics in New Product Diffusion Under Supply Constraint. Management Science 48(2) pp. 187-206.
    Horsky, D., Simon., L.S. (1983). Advertising and The Diffusion of New Product. Marketing Science 2 pp. 1-17.
    Karakul, M. (2008). Joint pricing and procurement of fashion products in the existence of clearance markets. Int. J. Production Economics 114 pp. 487–506.
    Khouja, M. (2000). Optimal ordering, discounting, and pricing in the single period problem. Int. J. Production Economics 65 pp. 201–216.
    Kiesmuller, G.P., de Kok, A.G., Dabia, S. (2001). Single item Inventory Control Under Periodic Review and a Minimum Order Quantity. Int. J. Production Economics (2010), doi:10.1016/j.ijpe.2010.03.019.
    Kogan, K., Herbon, A. (2006). Production under periodic demand update prior to a single selling season: A decomposition approach. European Journal of Operational Research 184 pp. 133–146.
    Krishnan, T.V., Jain, D.C. (2006). Optimal Dynamic Advertising Policy for New Products. Management Science 52 (12) pp 1957-1969.
    Kumar, S., Swaminathan, J.M. (2003). Diffusion of Innovations Under Supply Constraints. Operations Research 51. pp. 866-879.
    Lau, H-S., Lau, A.H-L. (1997). Reordering Strategies for a Newsboy-Type Product. European Journal of Operational Research 103, pp.557-572.
    Levi, D.S., Kaminsky, P., Levi, E.S. (2009). Designing and Managing the Supply Chain: Concepts, Strategies and Case Studies. Third Edition. McGraw-Hill.
    Mahajan, V., Muller, E., and Bass, F.M. (1990). New Product Diffusion Models In Marketing: A Review and Directions for Research. Journal of Marketing (54) pp. 1-26
    Mahajan, V., Muller, E., and Wind., Y. (2000). New Product Diffusion Models. Springer Science and Business Media Inc. USA.
    Rogers, E.M. (1983). Diffusion of Innovations. Third Edition. The Free Press.
    Silver, E.A., Pyke, D.F., Peterson, R. (1998). Inventory Management and Production Planning and Scheduling. Third Edition. John Wiley and Sons.
    Suprayogi. (2006). Numerical Search Methods for Single Variable Nonlinear Optimization Problems. FTI-Institute Teknologi Bandung.
    Wanke, P.F. (2008). The Uniform Distribution as a First Practical Approach to New Product Inventory Management. Int. J. Production Economics 114, pp. 811-819.
    Xu, L. (2006). Supply Chain Coordination and Cooperation Mechanisms: An Attribute Based Approach. Journal of Supply Chain Management 42. pp. 4-13

    無法下載圖示 全文公開日期 2015/07/13 (校內網路)
    全文公開日期 本全文未授權公開 (校外網路)
    全文公開日期 本全文未授權公開 (國家圖書館:臺灣博碩士論文系統)
    QR CODE