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研究生: Kevin Hendra Putra
Kevin Hendra Putra
論文名稱: 用K-均值聚類分析選擇最低搶標或最有利搶標之研究 - 以台灣某案子為例
The Study of Selecting between The Lowest Bid or The Best Value Method Using K-Means Clustering – a Taiwan Case Study
指導教授: 李欣運
Hsin-Yun Lee
口試委員: 楊亦東
I-Tung Yang
林祐正
Yu-Cheng Lin
周建成
Chien-Cheng Chou
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 工程學院 - 營建工程系
Department of Civil and Construction Engineering
論文出版年: 2022
畢業學年度: 110
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 124
中文關鍵詞: Procurement MethodThe Lowest Bid MethodThe Best Value MethodDecision-Making SupportContractor SelectionCluster Analysis
外文關鍵詞: Procurement Method, The Lowest Bid Method, The Best Value Method, Decision-Making Support, Contractor Selection, Cluster Analysis
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  • The construction project is a complex process and has many inherent uncertainties. They were especially deciding whether the procurement method is the lowest bid method or the best value method. Each procurement method has advantages and disadvantages, and there is yet to be any objective model to help such decisions. This research wants to develop such decision-making support to help the owner decide between the lowest bid method or the best value method to address this problem. This research will collect the parameter of the contractors, are bidding estimation, schedule estimation, schedule growth, work safety record, working capital, performance score evaluation, how many projects in 5 years, and how many years have been operated. Then will simulate it through SIMUL8 to get the real cost, schedule growth, and cost growth. K-means cluster analysis is proposed to make the clusters between the contractors, and the analysis of variance (ANOVA) will be conducted to see the significant difference between the clusters. The heterogeneous and homogeneous of the contractors will be seen on the ANOVA. Two scenarios also are shown to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed method.


    The construction project is a complex process and has many inherent uncertainties. They were especially deciding whether the procurement method is the lowest bid method or the best value method. Each procurement method has advantages and disadvantages, and there is yet to be any objective model to help such decisions. This research wants to develop such decision-making support to help the owner decide between the lowest bid method or the best value method to address this problem. This research will collect the parameter of the contractors, are bidding estimation, schedule estimation, schedule growth, work safety record, working capital, performance score evaluation, how many projects in 5 years, and how many years have been operated. Then will simulate it through SIMUL8 to get the real cost, schedule growth, and cost growth. K-means cluster analysis is proposed to make the clusters between the contractors, and the analysis of variance (ANOVA) will be conducted to see the significant difference between the clusters. The heterogeneous and homogeneous of the contractors will be seen on the ANOVA. Two scenarios also are shown to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed method.

    ABSTRACT i ACKNOWLEDGEMENT i TABLE OF CONTENTS iv LIST OF FIGURES vi LIST OF TABLES viii LIST OF APPENDICES x CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Research Background 1 1.2 Research Objective 3 1.3 Research Scope and Assumptions 3 1.4 Research Outline 4 CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW 5 2.1 Tendering Procedure 5 2.2 Tender Awarding 6 2.2.1 Lowest Bid Approach in Taiwan 8 2.2.2 Best Value Approach in Taiwan 9 2.3 Advantages and Disadvantages of Procurement System 12 2.3.1 Lowest Bid Method 12 2.3.2 Best Value Method 13 2.4 Best Value or Lowest Bid Method 15 2.5 Clustering Analysis 18 2.6 Summary of Literature Review 21 CHAPTER 3: METHODOLOGY 23 3.1 The Architecture of the Proposed Model 23 3.2 Collecting Contractor’s Parameter 26 3.2.1 Bidding Estimation 26 3.2.2 Schedule Estimation 29 3.2.3 Schedule Growth 30 3.2.4 Work Safety Record 33 3.2.5 Working Capital 34 3.2.6 Performance Score Evaluation 36 3.2.7 How Many Projects in 5 Years 38 3.2.8 How Many Years Have Been Operated 39 3.3 SIMUL8 Model Simulation 40 3.3.1 Planning and Design Stage Modelling 43 3.3.2 Tendering and Contracting Phase Modelling 44 3.3.3 Construction Phase Modelling 45 3.3.4 Operation and Maintenance Stage Modelling 47 3.3.5 The output of SIMUL8 48 3.4 Normalization 49 3.5 Clustering Analysis using SPSS 50 CHAPTER 4: CASE MODELLING AND IMPLEMENTATION 54 4.1 Project Information 54 4.2 Contractor’s Parameters 55 4.3 SIMUL8 Parameters 64 4.4 SIMUL8 Result Output 67 4.5 K-means Cluster Analysis Output 75 4.5.1 Scenario 1 – There are no Significant Differences 77 4.5.2 Scenario 2 – There are Significant Differences 80 4.6 Discussion About Result 83 CHAPTER 5: CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION 84 5.1 Conclusion 84 5.2 Limitation and Future Research 85 REFERENCES 87 APPENDIX 90 APPENDIX A – Scenario 1 90 APPENDIX B – Scenario 2 100

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