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研究生: 鄭名洲
Ming-Chou Cheng
論文名稱: 基於文字探勘與貝氏網路之消費者偏好分析
Consumer Preference Analysis Based on Text Mining and Bayesian Network
指導教授: 林希偉
Shi-Woei Lin
口試委員: 謝志宏
Chih-Hung Hsieh
曾世賢
Shih-Hsien Tseng
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 工業管理系
Department of Industrial Management
論文出版年: 2021
畢業學年度: 109
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 63
中文關鍵詞: 文字探勘偏好模型貝氏網路多準則決策分析貝氏迴歸
外文關鍵詞: text mining, preference model, Bayesian network, multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA),, Bayesian linear regression
相關次數: 點閱:300下載:4
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網際網路的發展改變人們的購物方式與行為,消費者在網路提供的評論與評價,不僅影響人們的購買意願,對企業而言也是重要的決策資訊,然而過去未存在一個系統性的方法,將消費者的評論精準地轉換為決策所需之偏好模型。本研究提出一個基於文字探勘與貝氏方法之消費者偏好多屬性評估模型。本研究利用文字探勘之主題分析方法暸解消費者在評估產品時所側重的面向或準則,透過貝氏網路建構評估的層級架構並決定消費者在評估產品時不同準則或面向之相對權重,最後透過貝氏迴歸方法,從消費者對產品之整體評價回推消費者對該產品個別屬性之評價,以建立完整的偏好模型。本研究最後並利用電商平台的消費者評論,進行上述方法的測試與驗證。本研究的結果,不僅能幫助決策者建立對消費者的洞察力,且可對消費者在意的每一面向做精準的推論,因此可供決策者做為產品推薦、產品改善與下一代產品研發之基礎。


The Internet has changed people’s shopping behaviors. The online comments and rating of products provided by consumers not only influence people’s willingness to buy, but also play an important role for the decision maker of the enterprises. However, a systematic method that could convert consumers reviews into preference model for decision making has not yet been developed. This study thus proposes a multi-crietria preference model of consumers based on text mining and Bayesian network. Our study uses topic analysis of text mining to elicit the attributes (i.e., criteria) that consumers might consider when evaluating a product. After that, we build a multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) hierarchical structure and determine the relative weights of different criteria via Bayesian network. Finally, a Bayesian linear regression model is implemented to estimate the consumers’ rating scores on different criteria for building the complete preference model. The proposed method has been tested and verified by using consumer reviews on e-commence website. Results of this research not only can give decision makers a clear view of consumers’ preferences, but also makes it easier to for managers to make accurate inference on different product or service aspects that the consumer focus on.

摘要 I Abstract II 致謝 III 目錄 IV 表目錄 VI 圖目錄 VII 第一章 緒論 1 1.1研究背景與動機 1 1.2研究目的 3 1.3研究貢獻 3 1.4論文架構 3 第二章 文獻探討 5 2.1消費者網路評論 5 2.2多準則決策分析 7 2.3 偏好模型 8 2.4小結 10 第三章 研究方法 11 3.1多屬性決策分析消費者偏好模型 11 3.2主題模型 14 3.3貝氏網路與CaMML 17 3.4貝氏線性迴歸 20 3.4.1多元線性迴歸分析 21 3.4.2貝氏線性迴歸 21 第四章 案例分析與結果 24 4.1案例與案例資料說明 24 4.2主題分析與評估屬性之擷取 25 4.3 評估準則權重之計算 33 4.4消費者對於產品之特定準則之評價 37 4.4.1採用最小平方法推估準則評價之結果 38 4.4.2 採用貝氏方法推估準則評價之結果 40 4.5小結 42 第五章 結論與建議 43 5.1結論 43 5.2管理意涵 44 5.3研究限制與未來研究建議 44 參考文獻 46 附錄 51

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