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研究生: 馬宜鴻
YI-HUNG MA
論文名稱: 國際避險基金動能策略之個案研究
The case study of the global hedge fund momentum strategies
指導教授: 劉代洋
Day-Yang Liu
口試委員: 張琬喻
Woan-Yuh Jang
扈永安
YONG-AN HU
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 管理學院MBA
School of Management International (MBA)
論文出版年: 2011
畢業學年度: 99
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 64
中文關鍵詞: 避險基金動能策略
外文關鍵詞: hedge fund, momentum strategy
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  • 本研究目的為針對避險基金之選股策略,找尋其動能投資策略下最佳投資組合。本研究採用1993/12/31年至2010/12/31年年底的道瓊瑞士信貸避險基金指數(Dow Jones Credit Suisse Hedge Fund Index)為研究對象,根據道瓊瑞士信貸避險基金之十種投資策略,運用Jegadeesh and Titman(1993)之研究使用移動窗格將資料分為形成期及持有期,將形成期分為12、24、36、60個月,持有期則分為3、6、12、24個月,一共16種時間組合並且建構贏家以及輸家投資組合。使用報酬率、夏普率、調整後風險值、Alpha值、期間高離差值以及Calmar值做為目標函數比較報酬率之差異,以探討動能投資組合是否有能力超越對應的標竿指數指數,並且比較贏家組合以及輸家組合何者適合做為評估工具。綜合各項實證結果,本研究有以下之結論:
    一、 在遇到類似金融風暴異常事件之時,以報酬率、夏普率以及高離差值為目標函數的贏家組合在事件發生之前可以有不錯的績效表現,但是在特殊事件發生之後會影響其建構投資組合使其無法達到最佳績效。
    二、 以Alpha值為目標函數之輸家投資組合加以觀察期較長之參數有明顯良好的績效表現,以Calmar值為目標函數之短觀察期贏家投資組合,其績效亦優於大盤,此兩種目標函數皆能不受特殊事件影響並且績效可以顯著優於大盤。


    This purpose of this study was aimed at the stock picking strategy of hedge fund and finds the best investment portfolio under the momentum strategy. In this study, it is used the data of Dow Jones Credit Suisse Hedge Fund Index from 1993/12/31to 2010/12/31 as the research object. According to ten kinds of Dow Jones Credit Suisse Hedge Fund investment strategy, the study divided the information into formation period and holding period by using movable pane from the investigation of Jegadeesh and Titman(1993).Through dividing the formation period into 12.24.36.60-month and holding period into 3.6.12.24-month, the study construction winner and loser investment portfolios. Using the return rate, sharp ratio, modified value at risk, Alpha and Calmar as the target function, the study compare the difference of return rate to exploring the portfolio of kinetic strategy having the ability to exceed the benchmark index. General of the empirical results, this study has the following conclusions:
    1. Facing unusual event such as financial crisis, the winner investment portfolios of return rate, Sharp ratio have a good performance before the event. However, the portfolio would be affected as it cannot achieve the best performance after unusual event.
    2. As the objective function of Alpha value, the loser investment portfolio on longer observation period has good performance. And as Calmar value, the winner investment portfolio on shorter period has good performance. Both these two objective function are not affected by unusual event and performance can be significantly better than the broader market.

    中文摘要 Ⅰ 英文摘要 Ⅱ 誌  謝 Ⅲ 圖表索引 V 第一章 緒論 第一節 研究動機與背景----------------------------1 第二節 研究目的----------------------------------3 第三節 研究範圍----------------------------------4 第二章 文獻回顧 第一節 避險基金簡介--------------------------------5 第二節 動能投資策略--------------------------------17 第三章 研究方法 第一節 資料來源與變數選擇--------------------------22 第二節 研究設計------------------------------------23 第三節 統計檢定方法與模型建立----------------------30 第四章 研究結果與分析 第一節 以報酬率為目標函數的績效分析----------------34 第二節 以夏普率為目標函數的績效分析----------------38 第三節 以調整後風險值為目標函數的績效分析----------42 第四節 以Alpha為目標函數的績效分析-----------------46 第五節 以期間高離差值為目標函數的績效分析----------50 第六節 以Calmar值為目標函數的績效分析--------------54 第五章 結論與研究建議 第一節 結論----------------------------------------58 第二節 研究建議------------------------------------60 參考文獻------------------------------------------------------61

    一、 中文部分
    1、 林泔薇、吳心怡、陳建妤、吳博聰(2008),透視對沖基金-全球主要國家與我國證券市場之比較(上)(中)(下),台灣證券交易所,證交資料553-555期。
    2、 歐陽立基(2009),拔靴檢定於對沖基金異常報酬之探討,國立中興大學應用數學系碩士論文。
    3、 陳富敬(2007),以平均變異數方法對美國風險性資產做投資組合分析,國立中央大學統計研究所碩士論文。
    4、 張雲岳(2009),避險基金指數是否能夠提供風險分散效果?-利用均異擴張檢定,國立中央大學財務金融學系碩士論文。
    5、 仰大信(2005),以行為財務學觀點探討避險基金績效持續性,朝陽科技大學財務金融系碩士論文。
    6、 林秀純(2004),美國共同基金動能策略之研究,國立成功大學財務金融研究所碩士論文。
    7、 鐘心怡(2008),以資料包絡分析法評估避險基金績效,世新大學管理學院財務金融學系碩士學位論文。
    8、 郭世宗(2002),共同基金績效持續性與績效動量週期之研究-如何建構高績效之基金中基金,銘傳大學金融研究所碩士論文。
    9、 楓惠如(2008),避險基金績效持續性之研討,國立中正大學財務金融研究所碩士論文。
    10、 張翔閔(2009),避險基金於全球投資組合配置角色之研究,世新大學財務金融學系碩士在職專班碩士論文。
    二、 英文部分
    1、 Ackermann, C., McEnally, R. and Ravenscraft, D. (1999), “The Performance of Hedge Funds: Risk, Return, and Incentives”, Journal of Finance, 54, 833-874.
    2、 Agarwal, V. and Naik, N.Y. (2000a), “On Taking The Alternative Route: Risks, Rewards and Performance Persistence of Hedge Funds”, Journal of Alternative Investments, 2,6-23.
    3、 Agarwal, V. and Naik, N.Y. (2000b), “Multi-Period Performance Persistence Analysis of Hedge Funds”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol.35, No.3, pp.327-342.
    4、 Agarwal, V. and Naik, N.Y. (2002), “Characterizing Systematic Risk of Hedge Funds with Buy-and-Hold and Option Based Strategies”, Working paper, London Business School.
    5、 Agarwal, V. and Naik, N.Y. (2004), “Risks and Portfolio Decisions Involving Hedge Funds”, Journal of Finance, 17, 63-98.
    6、 Agarwal, A., Daniel, N., and Naik, N.Y. (2004), “Flows, Performance and Managerial Incentives in Hedge Funds”, Working Paper, Georgia State University.
    7、 Amin, G. and Kat, H. (2003), “Hedge Funds Performance 1990-2000. Do The ‘Money Machines’Really Add Value?”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 38, 251-274.
    8、 Andrew W. Lo. (2008), “Hedge Funds:An Analytic Perspective”, New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
    9、 Brooks, C. and Kat, H. (2002), “The Statistical Properties of Hedge Fund Index Returns and Their Implications for Investors”, Journal of Alternative Investments, 5, 25-44.
    10、 Brown, S. and Goetzmann, W. (2003), “Hedge Funds with Style”, Journal of Portfolio Management, 29, 101-112.
    11、 Edwards, F.R., and Caglayan, N.O. (2001), “Hedge Fund Performance and Manager Skill”, THE Journal of Futures Markes, Vol.21, No.11, pp.1003-1028.
    12、 Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. (1997), “Empirical Characteristics of Dynamic Trading Strategies”, Review of Financial Studies, 10, 275-302.
    13、 Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. (2000), “Performance Characteristics of Hedge Funds and Commodity Funds: Natural vs. Spurious Biases”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 35, 291-307.
    14、 Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. (2001), “The Risk in Hedge Fund Strategies: Theory and Evidence from Trend Followers”, Review of Financial Studies, 14, 313-341.
    15、 Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. (2002), “Asset-Based Style Factors for Hedge Funds”, Financial Analyst Journal, 58, 16-27.
    16、 Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. (2004), “Hedge Fund Benchmarks: A Risk-Based Approach”, Financial Analyst Journal, 60, 65-80.
    17、 Getmansky, M., Lo, A. and Makarow, I. (2004), “An Econometric Model of Serial Correlation and Illiquidity of Hedge Fund Returns”, Journal of Financial Economics, 74, 529-610.
    18、 Gregoriou, G. N. and Gueyie, J. P. (2003), “Risk-Adjusted Performance of Funds of Hedge Funds Using a Modified Sharpe Ratio”, Journal of Wealth Management, 6, 77-83.
    19、 Kouwenberg, R. (2003), “Do Hedge Funds Add Value to A Passive Portfolio? Correcting for Non-normal Returns and Disappearing Funds”, Journal of Assets Management , 3, 361–382.
    20、 Liang, B. (2000), “Hedge Funds: The Living and the Dead”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 35, 309-326.
    21、 Markowitz, Harry M. (1952), “Portfolio Selection”, The Journal of Finance, 7,71-91.
    22、 Malkiel, B. G. and Saha, A. (2005), “Hedge Funds: Risk and Return”, Financial Analysts Journal, 61, 80-88.
    23、 Sharpe, W.F. (1964), “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 19, 1964, pp. 425-442.

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